Australian A League · resolved market
Will Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc499395d1ec0e89f6a1751bb2d2585139323a307f3e42783c3d7ce2b137f2f6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 34c | 13,563$4,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,583.75 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 10,815$7,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,633.73 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 9,008$6,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850.89 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 34c | 8,010$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 2,951$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.56 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 22c | 836.13$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.99 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Yes | 3c | 474$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 21c | 348.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 78c | 307.39$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 22c | 299.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 293.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.21 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 67c | 217$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 26c | 190.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 78c | 150$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 138.36$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 35c | 102.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 98.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 20c | 93.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 78c | 93.58$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked No | 78c | 81.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 27c | 73.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 68c | 66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 77c | 52.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 26c | 50.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Yes | 24c | 41.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 67c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed No | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.