Asian League · resolved market
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc72f89dc036540e97d681757f22a81c1659cdd2ca2014e6281f3e0fb3305c538
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes | 67c | 15,735$10,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,192.45 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 9c | 7,106$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.94 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 33c | 1,352$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.71 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 31c | 1,094$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.56 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 33c | 1,003$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.99 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 40c | 999.98$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 33c | 969.82$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.04 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 33c | 959$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.47 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 33c | 653$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.49 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 33c | 638.73$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.78 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes | 71c | 633.8$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.8 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 33c | 606.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed No | 33c | 554.55$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 33c | 545.45$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 32c | 495.36$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 23c | 370.28$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 33c | 303$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 13c | 300.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 65c | 256.89$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed Yes | 60c | 230$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 76c | 211.92$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 64c | 210.86$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Yes | 71c | 205.43$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 68c | 180.86$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 32c | 179.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 60c | 166$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 69c | 145.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39cd…1889backed No | 35c | 143.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…e923backed Yes | 69c | 140.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 33c | 137$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 33c | 112.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 33c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 29c | 93.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 33c | 85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Yes | 72c | 68.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 60c | 63.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 65c | 56.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 30c | 48.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Yes | 60c | 46.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…288ebacked No | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked Yes | 65c | 40.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…b1ccbacked Yes | 67c | 33.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed Yes | 69c | 32.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 33c | 31.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 69c | 25.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 72cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. V-Varen Nagasaki end in a draw?No won
- Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.