Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0be511f63e6272546a85680ab19c3a98b4dbc6963d2454b2bc55378c5ca48f54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 4,646$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.52 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,955$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.12 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b8…933ebacked No | 74c | 1,757$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc18a…7c09backed Yes | 27c | 1,641$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 26c | 1,094$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.36 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c4…2d95backed Yes | 28c | 989.39$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 824.63$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.64 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 776.82$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.27 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 726.48$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.62 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 666.42$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.71 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 461.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 76c | 351.08$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 26c | 346.01$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x713a…258dbacked Yes | 27c | 340$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Yes | 26c | 330.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 26c | 184.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 72c | 182.59$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 73c | 158.93$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 158.8$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 77c | 118.44$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 23c | 112.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 76c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 189 | 63%119 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 29c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 77c | 39.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 77c | 39.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 77c | 39.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 77c | 39.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 77c | 39.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 74c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x654f…61eebacked No | 75c | 25.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed No | 78c | 13.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.