Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf792addd6124eee2ebcb8353da289088f772a64967b923b92d07a6e7390ec8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 66c | 7,095$4,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.35 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…8720backed Yes | 22c | 4,919$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 2,100$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 1,981$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.4 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,954$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.06 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 891.44$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.65 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes | 9c | 776.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 78c | 769.23$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 105 | 79%83 W · 22 L | +22.7wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 78c | 769.23$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…8793backed Yes | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 78c | 576.92$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.92 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +17.2wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 34c | 555$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.7 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 34c | 405.47$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.43 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 34c | 404$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.18 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf842…8f43backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…fea9backed Yes | 33c | 363.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 78c | 335.28$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked No | 66c | 334.68$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 34c | 324.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.33 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 66c | 311.04$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 249.52$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 34c | 241.92$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 32c | 196$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 66c | 179$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 66c | 179$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 34c | 162$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 71c | 158.93$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed Yes | 33c | 152.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 78c | 131.12$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 30c | 130.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…31ebbacked Yes | 34c | 129.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 32c | 113.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…c121backed No | 68c | 113.56$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 34c | 81.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 51.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…363abacked Yes | 33c | 49.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 34c | 39.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 22.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…e0e8backed No | 67c | 22.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.