Premier League · resolved market
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5127f1e4069a110e2a7188affdc5f82a443ebd1d6207a12d738652841dfd8f67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 18c | 3,011$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.3 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 1,950$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.03 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 64c | 1,854$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.66 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked No | 59c | 1,545$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.42 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Yes | 40c | 1,201$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.98 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 41c | 527.8$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.4 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 456.81$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.08 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 31c | 447.66$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.35 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 445.22$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.85 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 31c | 394.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 26c | 391.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 349.08$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.64 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 74c | 321.68$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 23c | 279$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 62c | 233.89$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 64c | 229.23$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 60c | 195.06$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 41c | 193.17$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.97 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked No | 45c | 126.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 63c | 126.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb4…71c3backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 41c | 117.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 41c | 117.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 41c | 117.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 41c | 115.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed No | 45c | 110.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 17c | 108.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 26c | 103.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 61c | 101.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 61c | 101.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 61c | 101.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 61c | 98.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 24c | 93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 20c | 87.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 21c | 87.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…b76bbacked No | 21c | 75.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 63c | 70.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed No | 46c | 64.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 55c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 43c | 63.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 41c | 61.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 41c | 61.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 57c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 40c | 54.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 37c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 21c | 50.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…30d3backed No | 30c | 38.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 40c | 32.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 41c | 31.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 34c | 29.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 40c | 29.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 55c | 27.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 55c | 25.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 60c | 21.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…616dbacked Yes | 72c | 19.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1c…ddeebacked Yes | 78c | 14.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Oxford United FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.