Premier League · resolved market
Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87bfe0159052996b7db9c6e4af7d6c4bf612a9babfc02e6bcdab8fb7df79ba58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 60c | 1,996$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.73 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 1,151$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.67 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Yes | 39c | 1,150$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked No | 72c | 625.79$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.57 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 29c | 470$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 423.14$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.22 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 54c | 407.41$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.41 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked No | 64c | 328.33$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 252.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.15 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 71c | 150.21$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 148.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2043…6407backed Yes | 28c | 121.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba78…273ebacked No | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 36c | 105.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 28c | 91.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 82.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…c121backed Yes | 30c | 68.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 29c | 64.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 51c | 63.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 37c | 63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 56c | 59.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 26c | 57.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 48c | 33.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 33c | 30.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 28.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 16.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…ff9ebacked No | 72c | 13.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.