TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,515
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,515 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x954e…927fbacked Yes42c1,924$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.196650%33 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No58c1,868$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.2675850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No73c1,188$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.5274644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes40c704.5$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.157742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes44c539.99$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.5911146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes40c477.12$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.31,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes31c431.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3853344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked No56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1412549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes40c350$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14080953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes27c335.76$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.781,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12069851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes42c197.55$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.222,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes25c177.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3945142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes40c173.59$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4496443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No58c172$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2445751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes35c160.92$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.364,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.583180.6%25 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick76cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes34c127.43$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8957150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Yes19c115.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210136.6%37 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No60c110.16$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.062,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No61c93.6$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7240655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes28c70.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Yes45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305540%22 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No55c63.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4551847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.641956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.14271.4%30 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.410168.3%69 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No56c53.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4735661.2%218 W · 138 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6313746%63 W · 74 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c50.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.096,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x581a…8e5fbacked No59c45.02$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed No65c43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.055869%40 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.417047.6%81 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No61c33.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2128859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No61c33.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2123556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No61c33.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2111555.7%64 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc345…2c35backed Yes38c31.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.241040.5%166 W · 244 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes42c28.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.017048.6%34 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes44c27.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9216757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes42c24.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.361143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No61c24.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7111164%71 W · 40 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.