TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-04-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$278,920
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$282,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,920 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No45c196,358$88,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,388.7229446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes55c43,678$23,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,806.7842962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes54c40,050$21,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,298.293,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes61c15,867$9,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,111.225,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes55c10,754$5,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,839.211,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Yes55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,500540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Yes54c7,785$4,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,580.923040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes57c7,639$4,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,284.815050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes57c7,537$4,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,241.0117049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No25c7,067$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.3730841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No45c7,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1504339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes54c6,835$3,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,118.672,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes57c6,064$3,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,607.517244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb86f…da81backed Yes56c4,363$2,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.061136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes60c4,338$2,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.291,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Yes54c3,601$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.681957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Yes54c2,917$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.911266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed No45c2,706$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes54c2,706$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.6722853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes54c2,376$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.4245253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed Yes55c2,250$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.912462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes54c2,161$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.016944.9%31 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No43c2,126$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.175164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Yes55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc1d…faffbacked Yes55c1,995$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No21c1,938$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.051,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No43c1,865$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.216355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes55c1,761$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.341,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes56c1,681$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.4450746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes54c1,459$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.9613134.4%45 W · 86 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes69c1,416$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.751,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes57c1,413$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.411,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes54c1,380$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.171,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes55c1,326$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.7951749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Yes55c1,222$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.011376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Yes54c1,222$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.211838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c11…a98dbacked Yes55c1,173$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa033…a2e4backed Yes55c1,141$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…deb5backed Yes55c1,096$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes55c1,020$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4591957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Yes54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick42cpaid-58.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.993237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes56c993.36$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.087441.9%31 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes54c985.65$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.416534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes57c974.2$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.9123057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No46c954.98$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.294967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No8c943.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.733,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes55c866.85$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.083762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes57c781.33$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.9784943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes55c718.47$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.312,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed Yes55c717.1$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes55c716.77$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.731,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Yes55c707.64$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.441546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes55c706.4$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.886654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf445…703ebacked Yes56c695.83$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+134.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Yes56c625.89$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.391361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No44c606$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6413545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes52c566.62$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.9814540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No44c548.99$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.881,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes78c486.71$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.089562.1%59 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ce3…6011backed No5c465.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.25714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-58%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No44c438.81$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9133745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes57c427.28$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7313257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2f…4520backed Yes56c376.17$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.521978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba0d…dd6bbacked Yes55c373.01$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.851553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7244…b819backed Yes55c353.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.22650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Yes56c350.79$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Yes56c347.71$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+134.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed Yes57c346.82$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.131136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes55c339.52$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4817560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43ce…c264backed Yes55c325.51$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.487732.5%25 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes54c305.33$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4513049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf50f…0586backed Yes55c286.59$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked No21c279.68$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.315935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked No44c268.93$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb051…2481backed Yes55c265.71$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.76560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4815…8ba4backed Yes55c265.36$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x740d…c6a9backed Yes55c258.29$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes54c248$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.12,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes55c246.2$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.277656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes62c239.19$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.641,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Yes55c222.63$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.798155.6%45 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6431745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04b…3ce0backed Yes54c214.74$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.781947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes53c197.22$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0517251.7%89 W · 83 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes55c181.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5333266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes52c180$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.455155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb6…3965backed Yes55c178.53$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.341163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes55c177$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.717061.4%43 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Yes55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.612466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Yes55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.614753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed Yes56c174.1$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.741330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes56c173.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.569256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed No44c173.51$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.351758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No44c165.53$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.839361.3%57 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8723254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Yes66c164.14$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.36274.2%46 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Yes55c160.58$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.263773%27 W · 10 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x974e…8703backed No34c147.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No46c138.37$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6521345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.