South American Leagues · resolved market
Will LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b08286b681fe6355670f88837a0b10accf039d4c787012ae634bf6ba2a991f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 2,262$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.79 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 2,085$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.64 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 74c | 1,050$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.07 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 26c | 976.72$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.95 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 26c | 481.01$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 363.24$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.44 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 159.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 74c | 149$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 76c | 105.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 25c | 93.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 70c | 67.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 32c | 59.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Yes | 25c | 49.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…58bdbacked Yes | 27c | 42.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedef…a67ebacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 75c | 29.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 22.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 73c | 22.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 75c | 15.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 75c | 14.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?this page
- Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-04-14?Yes won
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.