TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-04-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,555
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,555 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9902…34b3backed No18c3,552$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.059113.2%12 W · 79 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-44.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No7c2,409$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.266,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7650…0ababacked No29c2,303$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick30cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes74c2,066$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.682,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No30c1,873$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.862,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No31c1,555$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.420059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes75c1,337$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.26837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No10c1,299$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.591,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No30c1,220$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.682,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes70c1,163$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.951,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No29c1,139$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.984549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked No25c976.15$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.112259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes75c844.48$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.621,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No28c762.53$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.2775850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes70c742.24$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.6780953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No3c694.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.891,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes75c604.11$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.121,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes71c600.81$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.195147.1%24 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Yes69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1862356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Yes72c460.4$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.255060%30 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes75c389.48$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5496443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Yes70c366.81$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.043275%24 W · 8 L+7.4wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+71.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Yes70c350.06$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.74254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes74c347.1$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.734,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes77c341.41$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.31,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes75c341.25$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8369772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3e1c…53f2backed No27c310$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.77247.2%34 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No4c309.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.387429.7%22 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+125%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes70c307.8$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.811146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed No26c307.7$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes69c302.74$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8519632.7%64 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No29c297.47$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5757150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes72c291.53$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.633026.7%8 W · 22 L-6.2wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-41.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes76c260.68$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7112252.5%64 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0fa…4cf6backed Yes70c207.14$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc861…f0fabacked No5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No25c180$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510949.5%54 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes71c180$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.242048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Yes72c166.66$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6613347.4%63 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca8…c044backed No26c165.19$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.95650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8635347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdaf…e58fbacked No25c138.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.723256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No28c135.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2269851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Yes67c119.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.41855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Yes74c105.41$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.412653.8%14 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b11…6f75backed Yes69c101.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.452475%18 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aba…1910backed Yes74c101.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.354468.2%30 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2361…c34ebacked Yes68c96.09$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.753100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes64c95.31$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.314535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Yes72c92.53$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.914645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed No26c91.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.872955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed Yes74c87.32$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.322871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14c0…e478backed No27c81.07$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.892369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x62aa…94febacked Yes72c76.6$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.453033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b4c…a32ebacked Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No26c67.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.481,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No24c66.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fd5…a9fbbacked Yes75c64.58$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed Yes72c60.31$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.894156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes76c58.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x715d…cfc2backed Yes75c55.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa30b…29e5backed Yes75c53.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf70…957bbacked Yes75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+52.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9579…44d4backed Yes70c40.08$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a22…2929backed No31c38.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes69c36.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3829644.6%132 W · 164 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Yes75c32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85855.2%32 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x837f…1644backed Yes63c31.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes64c27.06$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7418851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Yes70c25.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.72642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c5a…d48abacked Yes79c25.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.24875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c38…291fbacked Yes75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.25837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-48.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfedc…61d1backed Yes73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.834168.3%28 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0f4…5107backed Yes69c24.35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.551258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked Yes69c21.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.532161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed Yes72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.831163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Yes69c20.58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.386556.9%37 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66e8…c0e2backed Yes69c20.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes64c19.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0519356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd4c7…bb75backed Yes68c18.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.952450%12 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Yes75c15.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.771353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.