Tennis · resolved market

Pune: Alastair Gray vs Federico Cina

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3bf8bdd9a48fd7a50b3728f8f40af0fae67934bc6c1bf027278b6bf786b9e36

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cinaof Gray, Cina
Resolved: Feb 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $55,888
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $66,017

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,888 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1624…bf63backed Gray	13c	6,776$882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.56	1,106	41%454 W · 652 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Gray	0c	5,580$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.31	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Gray	14c	2,143$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,130	27.9%315 W · 815 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Gray	32c	2,023$638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638.08	1,284	39.2%503 W · 781 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Cina	71c	1,761$1,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$513.57	1,973	46.3%914 W · 1,059 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42ce…bdcfbacked Cina	72c	1,347$970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.19	61	68.9%42 W · 19 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Gray	26c	1,153$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.46	305	30.8%94 W · 211 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Cina	68c	1,009$691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.81	317	53.6%170 W · 147 L	+17.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Gray	29c	968.29$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.8	97	41.2%40 W · 57 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x890f…8d21backed Gray	28c	909$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.52	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+19%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Gray	31c	821.58$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.85	632	47.6%301 W · 331 L	-15.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bf7…12e5backed Gray	28c	725$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Gray	26c	712$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.13	1,008	46%464 W · 544 L	-19.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Cina	77c	710$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.85	655	58.9%386 W · 269 L	-32.1wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1ed…92a0backed Cina	72c	700$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.89	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Cina	71c	694.8$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.49	101	61.4%62 W · 39 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x178d…dcd6backed Cina	72c	689$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.92	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	66cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4643…4166backed Cina	72c	625$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cina	79c	592.8$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.78	8,217	45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L	+166.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefe…a0d2backed Gray	28c	560.2$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gray	31c	541.04$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.7	1,809	43.8%793 W · 1,016 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…fa8ebacked Cina	68c	539$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.48	47	63.8%30 W · 17 L	+4.6wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Cina	69c	535.35$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.29	1,240	41.2%511 W · 729 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Gray	24c	502$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.93	990	44.8%444 W · 546 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Gray	28c	500$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	466	49.8%232 W · 234 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Gray	27c	500$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	6,439	54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L	+285.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Gray	27c	484.53$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.57	1,265	29.2%370 W · 895 L	-13.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Cina	71c	481.23$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.56	207	48.3%100 W · 107 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3892…8d8dbacked Cina	72c	419.44$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.44	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Gray	26c	381.48$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.18	1,158	44.4%514 W · 644 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc637…ab8fbacked Cina	72c	380$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.4	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+91.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Cina	72c	357.14$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	420	46.9%197 W · 223 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Cina	72c	346.89$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.89	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.13per pick	60cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Gray	29c	346.56$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.5	227	47.6%108 W · 119 L	+14.9wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Gray	30c	304.04$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	296	37.5%111 W · 185 L	-15.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Gray	24c	303$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.27	737	45.2%333 W · 404 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Gray	27c	280$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.6	166	48.8%81 W · 85 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1333…e463backed Gray	29c	273.29$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.25	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-39%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Gray	19c	258.85$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,107	43.5%481 W · 626 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Gray	29c	258.62$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	1,768	43.2%764 W · 1,004 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Gray	24c	255$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.95	970	46.6%452 W · 518 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Gray	31c	250$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.25	491	42.8%210 W · 281 L	-15.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Gray	7c	226.3$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	1,379	16.4%226 W · 1,153 L	-108.5wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Cina	68c	220.59$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.59	196	53.6%105 W · 91 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Gray	29c	220$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.8	228	40.4%92 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0087…fc86backed Cina	72c	220$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.6	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Gray	15c	218.57$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.7	145	41.4%60 W · 85 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb6…ad74backed Cina	72c	206$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.68	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Cina	72c	200$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	107	57.9%62 W · 45 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0568…d5a7backed Gray	26c	183.82$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.92	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-52%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Gray	23c	175$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.87	136	47.1%64 W · 72 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Gray	14c	164$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.12	2,068	34.9%721 W · 1,347 L	-44.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Cina	67c	145.8$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.41	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Gray	31c	142.84$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.38	1,245	33.9%422 W · 823 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Gray	15c	125$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.05	1,245	51.9%646 W · 599 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Gray	23c	114.3$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.97	2,537	53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L	+61.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22c1…0df7backed Cina	66c	113.64$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.64	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+5.0wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Gray	28c	107.15$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2,058	59.5%1,225 W · 833 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Gray	18c	103.15$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.14	6,786	48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L	+56.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Cina	71c	100$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	779	67.8%528 W · 251 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	69cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5302…c0dfbacked Cina	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23c0…77babacked Cina	66c	99.39$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.79	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Cina	69c	94.87$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.69	244	54.9%134 W · 110 L	+12.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Gray	16c	89.22$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.94	2,982	39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Cina	70c	81.57$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.47	407	44%179 W · 228 L	-14.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gray	16c	79.85$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	7,816	50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L	+95.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed Cina	65c	72.7$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.44	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Cina	72c	69.44$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.44	2,561	63%1,613 W · 948 L	-10.2wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe4a…9373backed Cina	73c	68.49$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.49	129	74.4%96 W · 33 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	72cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Cina	73c	68.49$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.49	903	40.2%363 W · 540 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5904…940fbacked Cina	74c	65.38$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.28	114	65.8%75 W · 39 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59d0…a871backed Cina	67c	59.7$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.7	173	54.3%94 W · 79 L	+12.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Cina	72c	58.6$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.41	200	39%78 W · 122 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Gray	28c	54.83$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.35	689	51.1%352 W · 337 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked Cina	71c	49.99$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	126	59.5%75 W · 51 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Gray	29c	49$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.21	380	48.4%184 W · 196 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Cina	71c	42.25$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	303	51.8%157 W · 146 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Cina	65c	41.59$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.39	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-7.0wins	-0.21per pick	44cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Cina	72c	41.52$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.64	1,831	53%971 W · 860 L	-45.3wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Cina	66c	38$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.74	544	34.2%186 W · 358 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Cina	79c	35.95$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.73	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Cina	72c	34.79$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.58	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c33…ff7cbacked Cina	68c	29.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Cina	72c	26.81$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.41	141	61.7%87 W · 54 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8277…06d8backed Cina	80c	25.01$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.01	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	71cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Cina	75c	22.92$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.77	302	54.3%164 W · 138 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e0…ad29backed Cina	72c	19.44$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.44	94	70.2%66 W · 28 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Cina	70c	17.07$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.07	580	67.8%393 W · 187 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4a…d18fbacked Cina	72c	14.44$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.04	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pune: Alastair Gray vs Federico Cina

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market