NFL · resolved market
Will Dak Prescott lead the NFL in passing yards this season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59fd3ade6b2713e675daf2d6cb23c31e810c15090757645e4e5f65b55d862194
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 59c | 426.23$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.08 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 47c | 328.77$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.11 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 43c | 204.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.08 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb89…fcdebacked No | 41c | 192$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…1bc0backed No | 33c | 182$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbb…b796backed No | 37c | 155$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb73f…d5ccbacked No | 49c | 155$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…68dfbacked No | 32c | 141$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…08fcbacked No | 32c | 134$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…c927backed No | 32c | 106$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…65d8backed No | 32c | 86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…d1ccbacked No | 38c | 85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9813…d312backed No | 36c | 84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…9054backed Yes | 63c | 82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…ede6backed Yes | 59c | 76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82d…1119backed Yes | 68c | 76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b8…c62dbacked No | 34c | 76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…d5d1backed Yes | 59c | 74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd417…b91dbacked Yes | 63c | 73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…5f36backed No | 32c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e0…a107backed Yes | 67c | 66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…5f86backed Yes | 67c | 66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 51c | 63.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…bf9cbacked Yes | 51c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6a…3057backed No | 49c | 59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…8e07backed Yes | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200d…9295backed Yes | 68c | 58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…9bdfbacked Yes | 68c | 56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9039…9ed2backed No | 49c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ff…c5b5backed No | 34c | 54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…4b83backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…b42ebacked Yes | 51c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…f7b3backed No | 33c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c68…de73backed No | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…8c2bbacked No | 35c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ec23backed Yes | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…c8ecbacked Yes | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5951…74a6backed Yes | 68c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…706bbacked Yes | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9277…b5c9backed Yes | 68c | 41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…00fabacked Yes | 68c | 41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked No | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…0714backed No | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68fc…7393backed Yes | 68c | 37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…5b62backed No | 34c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +123%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc83a…55a9backed No | 36c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd3…c7f1backed No | 35c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…cca9backed Yes | 64c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…1264backed Yes | 68c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…6866backed No | 75c | 31.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0601…e912backed Yes | 62c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e5…e958backed Yes | 62c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b4…8235backed Yes | 66c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec5…e437backed Yes | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b8…b848backed Yes | 68c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…ccb0backed Yes | 68c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…c336backed Yes | 66c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0c…f08dbacked Yes | 64c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…bad0backed Yes | 68c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d18…6361backed Yes | 68c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6105…ade5backed Yes | 62c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…9e97backed Yes | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…a917backed Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7a36backed Yes | 50c | 24.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f5…fe48backed Yes | 66c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad9…facabacked Yes | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…d4bbbacked Yes | 66c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe087…6de7backed Yes | 66c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7628…9852backed Yes | 68c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…2da2backed Yes | 68c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3a…8b3bbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…0c54backed Yes | 66c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…8f76backed Yes | 65c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…c8c7backed Yes | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…cc45backed Yes | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaaf…e2c6backed Yes | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dak Prescott lead the NFL in passing yards this season?this page
- Will Baker Mayfield lead the NFL in passing yards this season?No won
- Will Drake Maye lead the NFL in passing yards this season?No won
- Will Jalen Hurts lead the NFL in passing yards this season?No won
- Will Jared Goff lead the NFL in passing yards this season?No won
- Will Jayden Daniels lead the NFL in passing yards this season?No won
- Will Joe Burrow lead the NFL in passing yards this season?No won
- Will Jordan Love lead the NFL in passing yards this season?No won
- Will Josh Allen lead the NFL in passing yards this season?No won
- Will Lamar Jackson lead the NFL in passing yards this season?No won
- Will Matthew Stafford lead the NFL in passing yards this season?Yes won
- Will Patrick Mahomes lead the NFL in passing yards this season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.