Earnings · resolved market
Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a8aa5db26766eb1ddcd43d2fc439edbae411760b29e86842ba900e45a98f684
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 19c | 6,607$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.81 | 768 | 37.4%287 W · 481 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd21…f7acbacked Yes | 79c | 2,597$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…8a09backed No | 21c | 2,537$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 19c | 2,513$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.05 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…252ebacked Yes | 78c | 1,939$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +157.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad7…0971backed No | 1c | 1,608$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed82…8fcbbacked Yes | 80c | 1,247$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed No | 28c | 1,214$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.15 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 6c | 1,211$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…e192backed Yes | 73c | 799.83$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 38c | 399.96$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 676 | 42.9%290 W · 386 L | -36.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbed…e4a9backed Yes | 63c | 399.02$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 30c | 380.07$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.64 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 21c | 371.43$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…064fbacked No | 23c | 329.13$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fe62backed Yes | 62c | 322.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73be…9a59backed No | 38c | 285.17$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…fd3ebacked No | 6c | 249.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked No | 5c | 244.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…a7b2backed No | 23c | 242.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d4…d296backed No | 25c | 200.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked No | 39c | 199.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed No | 40c | 194.17$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed No | 34c | 192.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 77c | 184.49$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…bb1bbacked No | 38c | 180.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 21c | 170.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 39c | 166.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 316 | 29.4%93 W · 223 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…b463backed No | 31c | 164.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…4923backed No | 42c | 160$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…31ddbacked Yes | 58c | 160$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 19c | 151.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…4413backed No | 26c | 146.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…5075backed No | 28c | 142.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…bb7abacked No | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…0075backed Yes | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 26c | 131.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 464 | 14.2%66 W · 398 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 68c | 125.16$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 43c | 123$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 582 | 39%227 W · 355 L | -25.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed No | 15c | 119.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 39c | 113.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed No | 20c | 111.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d9…087fbacked Yes | 66c | 106.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2d…1341backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac58…39a8backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 306 | 15%46 W · 260 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 42c | 91.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 75c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 58c | 82.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…b14bbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb3…3658backed No | 35c | 76.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5780…dd00backed Yes | 63c | 64.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 58c | 62.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3b90…0f10backed No | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff2…51e4backed No | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…9794backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 34c | 50.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…1b50backed No | 38c | 50.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x464a…4aa5backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +167.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…52b0backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…7014backed Yes | 63c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…9074backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…4323backed Yes | 66c | 40.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked No | 33c | 35.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed Yes | 76c | 34.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed Yes | 59c | 29.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4c…89aebacked Yes | 64c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b1…6a6dbacked Yes | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…023dbacked Yes | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3269…011dbacked Yes | 65c | 27.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a42…cdf1backed Yes | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf812…2c07backed Yes | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x136d…6858backed Yes | 62c | 26.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de5…ff70backed Yes | 66c | 26.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…93a8backed Yes | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…516abacked Yes | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa582…38ffbacked Yes | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…45cabacked Yes | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab48…05fbbacked Yes | 66c | 25.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…bb86backed Yes | 64c | 25.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 70c | 25.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d9…941abacked Yes | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +163%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…ef56backed Yes | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked No | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…43fbbacked Yes | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…50b5backed Yes | 66c | 22.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6346…7c71backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ef14backed Yes | 65c | 22.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…0db8backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…7b8fbacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c0…93efbacked Yes | 66c | 17.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.