Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 18-19°F on January 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46e3cae77c9528a79f934d34b76e25b3385d90105ea4b54f84f728d53d1b086b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes | 75c | 816.95$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.71 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked No | 19c | 695.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.88 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed Yes | 69c | 673.92$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 9c | 474.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8376…d286backed No | 18c | 427.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…7e15backed No | 47c | 356.94$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.76 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 37c | 315.17$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.84 | 847 | 59.4%503 W · 344 L | +41.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 41c | 299.37$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.03 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 75c | 268.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 33c | 257.29$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa007…bb99backed No | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 35c | 245.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked Yes | 61c | 242.63$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 299 | 22.7%68 W · 231 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095c…d20cbacked Yes | 66c | 225.97$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…75c8backed No | 5c | 221.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 86 | 23.3%20 W · 66 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa629…fe39backed No | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…1bbabacked No | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 121 | 25.6%31 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…971cbacked Yes | 77c | 181.58$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f2…e2d7backed Yes | 63c | 179.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…917cbacked Yes | 55c | 177.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.15 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 55c | 169.3$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…946bbacked No | 60c | 167.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 25c | 164.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…ae45backed Yes | 64c | 152.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…b8e3backed Yes | 50c | 146.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.35 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d4…f54ebacked Yes | 66c | 131.87$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9ddfbacked No | 41c | 131.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…ad70backed Yes | 78c | 127.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 39c | 121.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5490…c716backed Yes | 50c | 113.17$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8986…5631backed No | 40c | 111$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…62dfbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 251 | 19.9%50 W · 201 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…72cbbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 25c | 97.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…7b9cbacked Yes | 77c | 83.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…4519backed Yes | 62c | 72.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c8…f330backed Yes | 44c | 70.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…1f12backed Yes | 73c | 68.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…e079backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 56c | 66.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…f705backed Yes | 45c | 65.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 37c | 61.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 46c | 57.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…537cbacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 35c | 56.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…8719backed Yes | 54c | 56.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0f…2458backed No | 45c | 55.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…2061backed No | 45c | 55.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391c…68d1backed No | 46c | 55.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…23cfbacked No | 33c | 51.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7847…bdcdbacked Yes | 76c | 51.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b63…74aabacked Yes | 62c | 48.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2834…c196backed No | 37c | 45.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 45c | 44.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 77c | 43.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 30c | 40.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…1e4ebacked Yes | 75c | 39.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 321 | 47.4%152 W · 169 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 32c | 38.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…cfd7backed Yes | 76c | 36.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366f…05f0backed No | 39c | 32.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…7201backed Yes | 74c | 32.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ec…40edbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 63cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 53c | 29.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcb…634fbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 215 | 47.4%102 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f6…de59backed Yes | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…c8debacked No | 38c | 27.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 65c | 25.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…3722backed Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 525 | 33.1%174 W · 351 L | +21.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba66…ca3cbacked Yes | 68c | 22.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa90e…154fbacked No | 51c | 20.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…639bbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…f11dbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…dd08backed Yes | 77c | 19.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c45…7aa4backed Yes | 72c | 18.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7464…71cfbacked Yes | 66c | 17.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…e2bfbacked Yes | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 69c | 15.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x277a…3a85backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…4ce0backed Yes | 79c | 15.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d47…ae69backed Yes | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 18-19°F on January 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 15°F or below on January 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 26°F or higher on January 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 16-17°F on January 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on January 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.