World Politics · resolved market
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda9fba81cc94bbe63e8876087f083474068e18a9ea4d9393e289f401e8c03c2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 64c | 23,233$14,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,473.99 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked Yes | 64c | 17,186$11,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,133.29 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 19c | 13,001$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,521.44 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…9318backed No | 4c | 12,399$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e90…f911backed Yes | 11c | 6,802$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,082.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed No | 30c | 6,698$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.64 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 32c | 6,511$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,435.72 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 69c | 5,490$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.49 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 71c | 5,049$3,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.02 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 14c | 4,787$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,137.95 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 24c | 4,617$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.25 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 26c | 4,336$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,217.01 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 79c | 3,824$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.19 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 64c | 3,775$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.74 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 79c | 2,749$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.17 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…e7cabacked Yes | 66c | 2,464$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.66 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c24…e1afbacked Yes | 6c | 2,345$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.45 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +172.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed Yes | 8c | 2,300$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.98 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…ba97backed Yes | 21c | 1,968$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.79 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…c05cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,865$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 27cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,754$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.3 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 46c | 1,673$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.73 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 23c | 1,659$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.46 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 12c | 1,501$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.46 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…5399backed Yes | 2c | 1,358$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +654.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…7d89backed No | 76c | 1,321$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.01 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…110cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,093$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.4 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…0453backed No | 29c | 1,038$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…01cfbacked Yes | 14c | 995.26$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…8d71backed Yes | 64c | 883.07$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.16 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c6…ecd4backed No | 80c | 881.8$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516b…4a4ebacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e4…8f34backed Yes | 20c | 816.57$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.91 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 14c | 728.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.88 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…856ebacked Yes | 11c | 710.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.73 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 13c | 699.94$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.95 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…bde0backed No | 57c | 699.77$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…a20abacked No | 65c | 698.91$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.4 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 24c | 656.38$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.21 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed No | 6c | 612.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 61 | 18%11 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…e908backed Yes | 9c | 512.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fb…6eb5backed Yes | 79c | 509.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.54 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…a4a9backed Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe687…4d3ebacked Yes | 79c | 471.02$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0771…384dbacked No | 22c | 454.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x603f…9ff1backed No | 74c | 431.63$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383a…c380backed Yes | 17c | 423.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.61 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 25c | 420.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.3 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 49c | 401.24$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.01 | 146 | 32.2%47 W · 99 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed No | 78c | 400$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.06 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b3…843abacked Yes | 15c | 309.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +83%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…eb8fbacked Yes | 72c | 305.29$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…6b3abacked No | 76c | 295.49$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.57 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfc…80a5backed Yes | 18c | 287.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d37…a680backed Yes | 18c | 272.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.65 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Yes | 18c | 240.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.68 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…1eedbacked Yes | 17c | 238.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +197.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…de26backed Yes | 19c | 227.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +647.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked Yes | 20c | 215.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…f9d9backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5654…4589backed Yes | 10c | 185.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744d…94bfbacked Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +176.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…a488backed Yes | 14c | 174.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +131.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 23c | 172.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.24 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…c58abacked Yes | 16c | 168.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a65…0143backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…cfe6backed Yes | 75c | 153.25$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 9c | 141.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.93 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 9c | 135.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd318…73ddbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…3297backed Yes | 16c | 130$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7950…173cbacked Yes | 15c | 129.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed No | 52c | 112.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 28c | 109.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 20c | 106.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2e…7490backed Yes | 18c | 101.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +175.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 80c | 99.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…1629backed No | 75c | 84.16$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…4653backed Yes | 63c | 81.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3a…c250backed No | 78c | 77.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…bf5fbacked No | 68c | 75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2278…6ebcbacked No | 27c | 70.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d6…576fbacked Yes | 75c | 70.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 75c | 69.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 37c | 51.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…8c18backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 39c | 45.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…1494backed Yes | 46c | 43.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…bbe4backed Yes | 32c | 43.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…41b4backed No | 33c | 41.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…ab1cbacked Yes | 29c | 41.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x875d…25cfbacked No | 76c | 36.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…8fafbacked Yes | 76c | 35.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anca Alexandrescu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?this page
- Will Ana-Maria Ciceală finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?No won
- Will Catalin Drula finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?No won
- Will Ciprian Ciucu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?No won
- Will Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?No won
- Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?No won
- Will Vlad Voiculescu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.