TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nuno Santo be the first EPL manager fired?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,743 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1577…8949backed No56c451.55$252 inLost-$251.661838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed Yes36c362$131 inWon+$230.621942.1%8 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No4c341.16$14 inLost-$13.651811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-65.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes24c335.16$81 inWon+$253.9212652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ca6…ab78backed Yes46c292.82$135 inWon+$157.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes69c160.26$110 inWon+$50.2619259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed Yes40c152.97$61 inWon+$92.137447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No68c150$102 inLost-$1026540%26 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6418…f2d8backed Yes79c60$47 inWon+$12.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a5…c111backed Yes74c55.54$41 inWon+$14.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-66%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a60…9e08backed Yes41c31.22$13 inWon+$18.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed No66c30$20 inLost-$19.8812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-79.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4252…5db1backed Yes62c26$16 inWon+$9.871163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e5…0b07backed Yes70c25$18 inWon+$7.453100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.