Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x804585a800c434bf922ec0f423ee90d25ecc5d3d3a28b7a6deafa01e593ee7e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Atmane
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x377b…0446backed Atmane | 49c | 1,518$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Zverev | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…a7e4backed Zverev | 56c | 671.43$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.43 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Atmane | 43c | 666.57$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.34 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Atmane | 38c | 599.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.98 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…1b54backed Zverev | 62c | 565.16$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.16 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Atmane | 42c | 329.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.59 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Zverev | 64c | 328.13$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.13 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Atmane | 36c | 328.13$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.13 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Zverev | 61c | 322.66$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.89 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Zverev | 59c | 313.05$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.35 | 990 | 49.4%489 W · 501 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Zverev | 58c | 306.47$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.72 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Atmane | 38c | 290.05$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…afc1backed Zverev | 62c | 242.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Zverev | 51c | 211.76$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 1,073 | 60.4%648 W · 425 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d86…ad9bbacked Zverev | 54c | 121.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed Atmane | 47c | 76.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Atmane | 39c | 75.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 677 | 45.6%309 W · 368 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Zverev | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 1,802 | 58.9%1,062 W · 740 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Zverev | 61c | 65.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Zverev | 63c | 63.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Zverev | 59c | 49.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atmane | 63c | 48.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…a49ebacked Zverev | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Atmane | 40c | 36.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…84a9backed Zverev | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Atmane | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…3607backed Atmane | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Atmane | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Zverev | 58c | 23.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…58d5backed Zverev | 61c | 17.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)this page
- Alexander Zverev vs. Terence Atmane: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Terence AtmaneAlexander Zverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs AtmaneZverev won
- Zverev vs. Atmane: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.