Tennis · resolved market
Zverev vs. Atmane: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x377891f50363f9d3c688014d8b41fa268d8919a95fdfdfcb0cef48b2769729c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2542…7821backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Under | 49c | 392.16$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.16 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…6807backed Under | 52c | 385.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 48c | 331.54$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.4 | 1,844 | 45.7%843 W · 1,001 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 228.08$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 49c | 137.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 195 | 37.4%73 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c47…0b6abacked Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6e…1256backed Under | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f9…5cd9backed Under | 52c | 115.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 49c | 106.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under | 49c | 95.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 990 | 49.4%489 W · 501 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 50c | 81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 509 | 48.1%245 W · 264 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 56.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under | 52c | 25.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Over | 48c | 25.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…58d5backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zverev vs. Atmane: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Alexander Zverev vs. Terence Atmane: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Terence AtmaneAlexander Zverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs AtmaneZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.