Lol · resolved market
LoL: Maryville University vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b07bd25cb8f0c64298d23c918d3010b59021273b69c2ccf2770f368e2e6f999
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maryville Universityof Maryville University, Blue Otter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Maryville University | 79c | 3,303$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.75 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Blue Otter | 21c | 1,211$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.05 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Blue Otter | 21c | 594$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Blue Otter | 21c | 552.45$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.07 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Blue Otter | 21c | 488.29$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Blue Otter | 51c | 487.26$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.8 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Blue Otter | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Blue Otter | 24c | 321.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Blue Otter | 10c | 320.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…7e1cbacked Maryville University | 60c | 309.95$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Blue Otter | 54c | 286.19$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.09 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Maryville University | 50c | 250.09$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.1 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Maryville University | 51c | 190.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.58 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Blue Otter | 27c | 187$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Maryville University | 47c | 136.21$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Blue Otter | 25c | 127.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Blue Otter | 22c | 102.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…3607backed Blue Otter | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Blue Otter | 19c | 98.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…e115backed Maryville University | 50c | 97.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Blue Otter | 29c | 95.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Maryville University | 76c | 87.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 460 | 58%267 W · 193 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Blue Otter | 20c | 83.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Maryville University | 70c | 83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Blue Otter | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x960d…4629backed Maryville University | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Blue Otter | 43c | 67.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Maryville University | 79c | 50.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb6…ef3abacked Maryville University | 47c | 43.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Blue Otter | 45c | 43.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Maryville University | 75c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Maryville University | 59c | 40.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Maryville University | 37c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Maryville University | 78c | 35.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Maryville University | 47c | 27.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Maryville University | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…078abacked Blue Otter | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Maryville University | 77c | 20.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Maryville University vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Blue Otter (+1.5)Maryville University won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonMaryville University won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Blue Otter - Game 2 WinnerMaryville University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.