Lol · resolved market
LoL: Maryville University vs Blue Otter - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd890276199bcec349d070706371eefde7315247d1e58a4e5cbe2431ae124c68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maryville Universityof Maryville University, Blue Otter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Maryville University | 74c | 2,206$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.21 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Blue Otter | 26c | 1,420$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.52 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Blue Otter | 26c | 1,193$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.75 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Blue Otter | 26c | 441.56$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.81 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Blue Otter | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Blue Otter | 4c | 398$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Blue Otter | 26c | 367.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Maryville University | 75c | 333$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Maryville University | 75c | 257.53$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Maryville University | 78c | 248.86$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked Maryville University | 77c | 230.14$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Maryville University | 73c | 225.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 101 | 65.3%66 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maryville University | 73c | 180.51$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maryville University | 74c | 165.64$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…7e1cbacked Maryville University | 75c | 143.67$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Blue Otter | 22c | 128.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Maryville University | 77c | 107.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…7c98backed Blue Otter | 30c | 103.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Maryville University | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Blue Otter | 21c | 98.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Blue Otter | 26c | 96.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Blue Otter | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Maryville University | 73c | 94.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Blue Otter | 23c | 79.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blue Otter | 21c | 69.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…e115backed Maryville University | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…0bd8backed Blue Otter | 23c | 54.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x599b…2253backed Maryville University | 76c | 51.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ca…3b08backed Maryville University | 74c | 51.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Blue Otter | 27c | 47.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Maryville University | 75c | 41.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Blue Otter | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…69d6backed Maryville University | 74c | 34.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Blue Otter | 31c | 34.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6029…82bbbacked Maryville University | 77c | 25.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…6ca5backed Maryville University | 77c | 22.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Maryville University | 79c | 22.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…66bfbacked Maryville University | 77c | 15.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Maryville University vs Blue Otter - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Blue Otter (+1.5)Maryville University won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonMaryville University won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Blue Otter - Game 1 WinnerMaryville University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.