Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open: Valentin Royer vs Tommy Paul
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7113b913552dd76b8dae09be8d38c16211b930317cf58cc9962ffa7e11899b4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tommy Paulof Valentin Royer, Tommy Paul
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $317,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $334,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2978…b511backed Valentin Royer | 16c | 57,854$9,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,344.41 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Valentin Royer | 17c | 30,190$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tommy Paul | 78c | 23,620$18,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,176.14 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Valentin Royer | 7c | 22,260$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.17 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Valentin Royer | 17c | 19,032$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240.26 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Valentin Royer | 17c | 17,294$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Valentin Royer | 34c | 5,914$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Valentin Royer | 17c | 4,412$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Valentin Royer | 20c | 4,092$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.2 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Valentin Royer | 17c | 3,824$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Valentin Royer | 17c | 3,750$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Valentin Royer | 12c | 3,182$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.62 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Valentin Royer | 17c | 2,426$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.42 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Tommy Paul | 75c | 2,181$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.08 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…09efbacked Valentin Royer | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Tommy Paul | 65c | 1,474$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.33 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Valentin Royer | 19c | 1,311$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.94 | 271 | 39.1%106 W · 165 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…985bbacked Valentin Royer | 22c | 1,279$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.41 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Valentin Royer | 5c | 1,227$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Valentin Royer | 17c | 1,179$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Valentin Royer | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Valentin Royer | 8c | 958.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Valentin Royer | 22c | 955.76$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Valentin Royer | 5c | 877.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Valentin Royer | 17c | 810$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…6077backed Tommy Paul | 80c | 707.33$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.49 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Valentin Royer | 17c | 639.37$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.69 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Valentin Royer | 19c | 636.46$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Valentin Royer | 22c | 629.44$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.94 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Tommy Paul | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…cc50backed Valentin Royer | 10c | 614.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Valentin Royer | 24c | 590$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Valentin Royer | 21c | 500$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.83 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Valentin Royer | 27c | 462.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Valentin Royer | 22c | 442.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Valentin Royer | 22c | 399.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 359 | 38.2%137 W · 222 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Valentin Royer | 7c | 392.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…c129backed Valentin Royer | 16c | 389.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…30bcbacked Valentin Royer | 22c | 388.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Tommy Paul | 76c | 387.93$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Valentin Royer | 24c | 363$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Tommy Paul | 79c | 357.64$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Valentin Royer | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Valentin Royer | 20c | 313$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Valentin Royer | 4c | 299.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Valentin Royer | 11c | 284$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed Valentin Royer | 14c | 268.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Tommy Paul | 78c | 244.01$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 181 | 58.6%106 W · 75 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Valentin Royer | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 299 | 48.5%145 W · 154 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Tommy Paul | 74c | 221.14$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Valentin Royer | 20c | 219.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Valentin Royer | 11c | 212$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Valentin Royer | 20c | 209.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Valentin Royer | 18c | 202$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Valentin Royer | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…75a8backed Valentin Royer | 6c | 198.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Valentin Royer | 21c | 196$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Valentin Royer | 7c | 191.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Valentin Royer | 22c | 180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Valentin Royer | 18c | 176.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Valentin Royer | 14c | 172.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Valentin Royer | 20c | 148.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Valentin Royer | 23c | 147.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Valentin Royer | 13c | 143.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2799backed Valentin Royer | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Valentin Royer | 12c | 133.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Valentin Royer | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Valentin Royer | 18c | 125$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Valentin Royer | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 36.5%74 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Valentin Royer | 20c | 121.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Valentin Royer | 23c | 121.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Valentin Royer | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 40.6%41 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Valentin Royer | 18c | 102.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Valentin Royer | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Valentin Royer | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Valentin Royer | 20c | 83.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Valentin Royer | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Valentin Royer | 17c | 79.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 221 | 52.9%117 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09cd…9502backed Valentin Royer | 18c | 78.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Tommy Paul | 79c | 77.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Tommy Paul | 80c | 69.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Tommy Paul | 80c | 69.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…89c6backed Tommy Paul | 79c | 68.93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Tommy Paul | 76c | 67.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…0500backed Valentin Royer | 19c | 62.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.33per pick | 41cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Valentin Royer | 29c | 62.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…d3dbbacked Valentin Royer | 18c | 62.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Tommy Paul | 77c | 48.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Tommy Paul | 78c | 46.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Tommy Paul | 78c | 44.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…0473backed Tommy Paul | 80c | 37.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…cc31backed Tommy Paul | 76c | 36.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Tommy Paul | 79c | 25.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Tommy Paul | 78c | 22.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…2821backed Tommy Paul | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Tommy Paul | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 372 | 66.7%248 W · 124 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…47f5backed Tommy Paul | 78c | 17.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Tommy Paul | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- National Bank Open: Valentin Royer vs Tommy Paulthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Royer vs PaulPaul won
- Set 2 Winner: Royer vs PaulPaul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.