TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

National Bank Open: Valentin Royer vs Tommy Paul

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tommy Paulof Valentin Royer, Tommy Paul
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$317,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$334,348

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,963 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2978…b511backed Valentin Royer16c57,854$9,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,344.4142332.4%137 W · 286 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Valentin Royer17c30,190$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00017746.3%82 W · 95 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tommy Paul78c23,620$18,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,176.1411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Valentin Royer7c22,260$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.178,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Valentin Royer17c19,032$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,240.2656651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Valentin Royer17c17,294$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,94078536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x772b…1840backed Valentin Royer34c5,914$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009136.3%33 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Valentin Royer17c4,412$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Valentin Royer20c4,092$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.22,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Valentin Royer17c3,824$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Valentin Royer17c3,750$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.52,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Valentin Royer12c3,182$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.623,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Valentin Royer17c2,426$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.422,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Tommy Paul75c2,181$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.0836545.2%165 W · 200 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe585…09efbacked Valentin Royer24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002250%11 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Tommy Paul65c1,474$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.3327554.9%151 W · 124 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Valentin Royer19c1,311$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.9427139.1%106 W · 165 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac86…985bbacked Valentin Royer22c1,279$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.414833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Valentin Royer5c1,227$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9647252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a2…704cbacked Valentin Royer17c1,179$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014418.1%26 W · 118 L-0.5wins0.00per pick18cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Valentin Royer4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015442.2%65 W · 89 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Valentin Royer8c958.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.358021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Valentin Royer22c955.76$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21021524.7%53 W · 162 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Valentin Royer5c877.72$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.094,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Valentin Royer17c810$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.756827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x656a…6077backed Tommy Paul80c707.33$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.492560%15 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Valentin Royer17c639.37$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.693,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Valentin Royer19c636.46$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0539648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Valentin Royer22c629.44$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9469047%324 W · 366 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb9…1d15backed Tommy Paul80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1258345.8%38 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x831f…cc50backed Valentin Royer10c614.68$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0821841.3%90 W · 128 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d5…732ebacked Valentin Royer24c590$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.634555.1%190 W · 155 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Valentin Royer21c500$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8353644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Valentin Royer27c462.96$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12535450.8%180 W · 174 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Valentin Royer22c442.32$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.311,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Valentin Royer22c399.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8835938.2%137 W · 222 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Valentin Royer7c392.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8595050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5d7…c129backed Valentin Royer16c389.52$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.824422.7%10 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0052…30bcbacked Valentin Royer22c388.26$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.049346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Tommy Paul76c387.93$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.11346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Valentin Royer24c363$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1249658.1%288 W · 208 L+32.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Tommy Paul79c357.64$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.174,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked Valentin Royer18c333.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603060%18 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Valentin Royer20c313$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.541,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Valentin Royer4c299.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.791,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Valentin Royer11c284$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3117535.4%62 W · 113 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a9a…a9c7backed Valentin Royer14c268.81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.441338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed Tommy Paul78c244.01$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6818158.6%106 W · 75 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17af…b7e4backed Valentin Royer21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029948.5%145 W · 154 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Tommy Paul74c221.14$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.429149.5%144 W · 147 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Valentin Royer20c219.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Valentin Royer11c212$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.324,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Valentin Royer20c209.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.163537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Valentin Royer18c202$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.388942.7%38 W · 51 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked Valentin Royer17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12dc…75a8backed Valentin Royer6c198.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122313%3 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Valentin Royer21c196$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.161,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Valentin Royer7c191.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5919540%78 W · 117 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Valentin Royer22c180$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.615244.1%67 W · 85 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Valentin Royer18c176.1$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7515846.8%74 W · 84 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Valentin Royer14c172.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4242546.4%197 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Valentin Royer20c148.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2970537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Valentin Royer23c147.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0436621.6%79 W · 287 L+1.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Valentin Royer13c143.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5287741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb550…2799backed Valentin Royer18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Valentin Royer12c133.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.512,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd1d…6f23backed Valentin Royer15c130$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Valentin Royer18c125$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.11,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Valentin Royer24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020336.5%74 W · 129 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Valentin Royer20c121.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8537547.2%177 W · 198 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Valentin Royer23c121.19$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.822231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Valentin Royer18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010140.6%41 W · 60 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Valentin Royer18c102.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4510939.4%43 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Valentin Royer19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1993945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Valentin Royer24c90$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.655941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Valentin Royer20c83.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.733,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Valentin Royer18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513247%62 W · 70 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Valentin Royer17c79.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4722152.9%117 W · 104 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09cd…9502backed Valentin Royer18c78.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1512552%65 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Tommy Paul79c77.38$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3625048.8%122 W · 128 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Tommy Paul80c69.84$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2472147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Tommy Paul80c69.6$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9227749.1%136 W · 141 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83de…89c6backed Tommy Paul79c68.93$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.484562.2%28 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Tommy Paul76c67.27$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.072,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bca…0500backed Valentin Royer19c62.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.74137.7%1 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.33per pick41cpaid-83.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Valentin Royer29c62.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x624b…d3dbbacked Valentin Royer18c62.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.219950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Tommy Paul77c48.48$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.151,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Tommy Paul78c46.77$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4165259.4%387 W · 265 L+31.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Tommy Paul78c44.68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6840861.3%250 W · 158 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x829b…0473backed Tommy Paul80c37.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.556470.3%45 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1833…cc31backed Tommy Paul76c36.26$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.744643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73e5…e3d8backed Tommy Paul79c25.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1833550.7%170 W · 165 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Tommy Paul78c22.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0158665.5%384 W · 202 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x031a…2821backed Tommy Paul80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8087…a213backed Tommy Paul79c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7837266.7%248 W · 124 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c47…47f5backed Tommy Paul78c17.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.686141%25 W · 36 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-34.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ee3…2e6abacked Tommy Paul78c14.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.129945.8%137 W · 162 L+20.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.