Europa Conference League · resolved market

FC Porto vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x887d1b82df86c88ee7badc952cdfdffdb148b2a35c7653e6ed87b3f23b4333f7

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 29, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $31,404
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $34,279

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,404 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over	45c	18,397$8,191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,206.55	2,990	42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L	+9.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under	56c	10,000$5,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,600	82	45.1%37 W · 45 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under	56c	3,000$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,680	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-5.2wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Over	45c	1,667$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$917.4	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+4.1wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over	42c	1,500$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$870	219	25.6%56 W · 163 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Under	60c	836.89$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+46.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under	56c	800$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448	91	48.4%44 W · 47 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	58c	666.8$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.65	3,726	47%1,750 W · 1,976 L	+20.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under	58c	499.96$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.98	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-6.9wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-24%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under	56c	450$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	142	52.1%74 W · 68 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Over	44c	450$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under	56c	450$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	129	48.8%63 W · 66 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under	56c	450$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	84	44%37 W · 47 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Under	47c	425.53$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under	56c	400$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	246	55.7%137 W · 109 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under	56c	400$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	94	44.7%42 W · 52 L	-7.2wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under	56c	350$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	-12.2wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	37c	338.66$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.68	769	41.9%322 W · 447 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	41c	332.73$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.75	919	50.9%468 W · 451 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Over	42c	312.41$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.05	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under	56c	300$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	82	50%41 W · 41 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under	56c	280$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.8	85	54.1%46 W · 39 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Under	36c	202$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.1	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under	56c	180$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	80	56.3%45 W · 35 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under	56c	170$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.2	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under	56c	170$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.2	75	44%33 W · 42 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under	56c	170$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.2	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under	56c	170$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.2	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under	56c	170$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.2	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under	56c	170$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.2	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under	56c	170$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.2	85	51.8%44 W · 41 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under	56c	160$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.6	75	44%33 W · 42 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under	56c	150$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	75	40%30 W · 45 L	-7.8wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Over	43c	139$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.23	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under	56c	120$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.2	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under	56c	120$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.2	80	57.5%46 W · 34 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under	56c	120$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.2	87	55.2%48 W · 39 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Over	40c	120$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	10	90%9 W · 1 L	+3.1wins	+0.31per pick	59cpaid	+58.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over	44c	113.64$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.64	69	29%20 W · 49 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	56c	100.13$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.07	433	44.6%193 W · 240 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over	41c	97.56$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.56	152	24.3%37 W · 115 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Over	40c	95$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under	56c	86.56$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.47	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under	56c	80$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.8	78	48.7%38 W · 40 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under	56c	80$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.8	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under	56c	70$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	94	50%47 W · 47 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Under	57c	69.61$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.68	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Under	57c	69$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.33	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+21%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Under	56c	68.83$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.54	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under	56c	60$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	77	48.1%37 W · 40 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under	56c	60$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under	56c	60$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under	56c	60$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	79	51.9%41 W · 38 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under	56c	60$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under	56c	60$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Under	61c	53.28$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Over	43c	51$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.07	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Over	41c	48.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.78	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over	44c	45.45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.45	132	56.8%75 W · 57 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9acf…bd74backed Under	57c	40$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.23per pick	59cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30ee…5d12backed Under	60c	39$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97bf…b669backed Over	61c	38.43$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.11	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf3e…390fbacked Under	60c	38$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under	47c	35.15$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.65	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-6.2wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-51%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over	48c	35$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.2	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf683…f2dfbacked Under	57c	34$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.38	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.29per pick	55cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2093…66cebacked Over	62c	32.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.26	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Over	42c	30.95$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.95	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+3.7wins	+0.14per pick	38cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50be…bcb1backed Under	60c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc9…801ebacked Under	60c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	60cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07eb…4b4cbacked Under	60c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7219…fcf7backed Under	60c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f6…9cdabacked Under	57c	29$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.53	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	57cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3add…e482backed Under	57c	29$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.53	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over	43c	25.58$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.58	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under	58c	25.48$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.78	86	60.5%52 W · 34 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over	57c	25.46$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.94	78	42.3%33 W · 45 L	-5.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	61c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.75	522	43.9%229 W · 293 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over	42c	24.99$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.49	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Under	57c	23$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.11	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7399…fe96backed Under	57c	22$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.54	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-3.1wins	-0.38per pick	63cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x806c…3381backed Under	60c	18$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.4wins	-0.47per pick	67cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

FC Porto vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5this page
FC Porto vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
FC Porto vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
FC Porto vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
FC Porto vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

FC Porto vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event