Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Porto vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8356c7e188cc4fbe4c9fa466f57afadaa2d40856795ee043c1c2de735693c88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 73c | 2,502$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.83 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 24c | 1,783$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.39 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 912.15$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.23 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Over | 67c | 748.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.44 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Under | 33c | 644.61$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.72 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Under | 36c | 551.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 35c | 535.68$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.13 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 15c | 183.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 66c | 89.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Over | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 34c | 44.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe589…d2fcbacked Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 35c | 34.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 66c | 26.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Over | 66c | 24.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Over | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Porto vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Porto vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Porto vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.