TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-07-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$572,308
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$712,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $572,308 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No78c144,437$112,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,752.85,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad7…42aabacked No55c50,000$27,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,696.532948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes24c48,882$11,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,169.948743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes39c28,280$11,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,276.8512646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes76c27,657$21,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,637.7731349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd22…430ebacked No0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-58.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes25c15,309$3,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,455.552,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8d…135dbacked No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes44c8,793$3,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,889.223,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c1…4114backed Yes17c7,473$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,173.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+474.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e7b…d719backed Yes17c7,473$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,173.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+474.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70e8…0836backed Yes17c7,473$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,173.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+474.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes77c5,686$4,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.495957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes44c5,584$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.21,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x603e…e019backed Yes17c5,429$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,528.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+503.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82e1…eeb3backed Yes17c5,429$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,528.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+201.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf93…746cbacked Yes17c5,429$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,528.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+503.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf8…8e52backed Yes17c5,429$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,528.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+201.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No65c4,912$3,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,185.8775240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbf…0bf0backed Yes15c4,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,400250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick14cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d33…46cebacked Yes15c4,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4001100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce1b…977dbacked Yes14c3,971$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,420.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+621.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes76c3,913$2,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.188139.5%32 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c3,849$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.478,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x625a…f957backed Yes16c3,655$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,084.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+220.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf775…bd87backed Yes15c3,333$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,833.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes42c3,298$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,914.3912738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes46c3,219$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.7611039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8fe…6a04backed Yes14c3,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5901100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+631.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed No54c2,778$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb8…ae4abacked Yes15c2,667$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+471.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31b3…b35cbacked Yes15c2,667$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.66728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d2…399bbacked Yes15c2,667$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.66520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fba…fd69backed Yes15c2,667$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.66911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b0…87e4backed Yes15c2,500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1201100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+557.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b29…bed9backed Yes21c2,381$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa643…b4c2backed Yes21c2,381$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes46c2,370$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.091,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bc…67c2backed Yes80c2,257$1,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.293339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Yes44c2,243$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.086253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes68c2,045$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.9519050.5%96 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Yes31c1,935$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.487723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes67c1,914$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.145746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes17c1,765$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.719963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed No54c1,736$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.442352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes77c1,689$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.181,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa937…a334backed Yes12c1,667$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x829e…339cbacked Yes12c1,667$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd4d…3ac6backed Yes12c1,667$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd58…f7b5backed Yes12c1,667$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Yes22c1,540$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.691861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9bc…d6d1backed Yes12c1,500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes77c1,350$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.8316842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf45…401fbacked Yes15c1,333$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.33633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+130.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb340…1ad1backed Yes76c1,243$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.32540%2 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick76cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes77c1,223$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.283842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes78c1,189$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.626144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes80c1,145$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.776412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Yes67c1,082$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.873438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes72c1,080$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.0344843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes45c1,058$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.721,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Yes35c1,022$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.31580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+85.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa20a…b7b3backed Yes79c985.85$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.85862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes46c924.24$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.091,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed Yes78c906.47$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6115247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed Yes78c900$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.28per pick60cpaid+50.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes61c800.92$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.874436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes75c778.86$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5430847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd682…2c16backed Yes79c666.11$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.771435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x946f…67c1backed Yes79c625.58$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.243759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes63c616.64$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7235246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No45c609.1$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.3726835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes14c600$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes31c557.16$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.4819953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No67c539$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.6520055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes45c506$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.141,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No76c446.85$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.2155250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes50c441.27$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.773253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes44c422.02$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.3316751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8c…01c9backed Yes42c399.98$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.991450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes33c388$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.7910649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd9f…c675backed Yes26c378.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.22948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes65c377.6$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.861,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec1e…0d9cbacked Yes76c367.99$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.881963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked No55c366.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes78c365.46$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5542946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked No17c341.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.027925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes16c318.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.127814.1%11 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No26c317$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6721765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes37c302.02$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.1272058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes44c264.57$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.166553.8%35 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes46c256.59$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3455946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Yes34c241.22$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes45c221.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8127855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb730…e9c2backed Yes15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1703023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes38c199.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.337048.6%34 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked No9c164.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7911328.3%32 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes46c161.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.952,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b80…8b39backed Yes47c147.19$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.016943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes27c146.28$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.787741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.