Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47109d5f2cf407777600ca7ba513706ce00f1b0102b993f0e0e5faa48a97c140
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Yandex | 47c | 12,097$5,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,636.43 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed PARIVISION | 61c | 4,072$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.21 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed PARIVISION | 53c | 3,853$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.68 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 54c | 2,529$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.58 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked PARIVISION | 54c | 2,470$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.8 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex | 46c | 2,026$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.47 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Yandex | 48c | 1,357$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.24 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Team Yandex | 39c | 874.25$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.43 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Team Yandex | 37c | 815.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex | 17c | 800.33$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed PARIVISION | 72c | 694.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.28 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Team Yandex | 40c | 600$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.1 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 29c | 562.86$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.83 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 515.74$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.36 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed PARIVISION | 64c | 501.85$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.01 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed PARIVISION | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 59c | 458$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.99 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed PARIVISION | 71c | 423.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.66 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION | 53c | 399.31$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.67 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION | 52c | 392.73$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Yandex | 33c | 311.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.81 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed PARIVISION | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.18 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Team Yandex | 25c | 280$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 271.9$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.73 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed PARIVISION | 56c | 269.43$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.43 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed Team Yandex | 12c | 261.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PARIVISION | 51c | 254.81$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.81 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Team Yandex | 35c | 238.69$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed PARIVISION | 77c | 237.02$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 63c | 226.59$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 222$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +204.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed PARIVISION | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 164.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed PARIVISION | 52c | 163.13$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 163$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…b8d2backed PARIVISION | 73c | 158.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Yandex | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Yandex | 12c | 147.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Team Yandex | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed PARIVISION | 74c | 135.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07b0…4758backed Team Yandex | 48c | 113.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…6c31backed PARIVISION | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed PARIVISION | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Team Yandex | 14c | 72.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…8267backed PARIVISION | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Yandex | 28c | 65.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed PARIVISION | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Yandex | 17c | 64.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed Team Yandex | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed PARIVISION | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team Yandex | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…8063backed PARIVISION | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +41%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…6345backed PARIVISION | 63c | 37.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked Team Yandex | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Yandex | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked PARIVISION | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 374 | 56.4%211 W · 163 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed PARIVISION | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed PARIVISION | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed PARIVISION | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 19.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.