Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd99b9ae2806eae83f9b4b53e3a7ac646ec300245b400af2c6f05bf40adcfae43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof PARIVISION, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked PARIVISION | 58c | 21,911$12,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,687.5 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 36c | 20,000$7,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,855.2 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 7,500$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,564.17 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed PARIVISION | 61c | 4,768$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed PARIVISION | 65c | 3,824$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.82 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex | 43c | 2,376$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.07 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 40c | 2,315$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.97 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex | 43c | 2,067$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.72 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed PARIVISION | 70c | 2,040$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.3 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Team Yandex | 51c | 1,882$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.89 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 1,586$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Yandex | 33c | 1,540$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.8 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed PARIVISION | 64c | 1,436$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.27 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Team Yandex | 36c | 1,113$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.56 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex | 53c | 753.11$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.34 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Yandex | 56c | 689.14$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.93 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Yandex | 37c | 649.42$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.14 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed PARIVISION | 45c | 567.4$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.33 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Yandex | 74c | 560.13$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.26 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PARIVISION | 61c | 515$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.15 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PARIVISION | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed PARIVISION | 54c | 340.28$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…3415backed PARIVISION | 69c | 319.13$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd75…6731backed PARIVISION | 65c | 307.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 40c | 257.74$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed PARIVISION | 64c | 251.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked PARIVISION | 34c | 229.53$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 220.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Yandex | 58c | 220$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Yandex | 73c | 202.73$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed PARIVISION | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed PARIVISION | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked PARIVISION | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed PARIVISION | 28c | 130$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…0eb4backed PARIVISION | 68c | 127.16$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed PARIVISION | 33c | 120$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed PARIVISION | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Yandex | 43c | 118.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Team Yandex | 59c | 85.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked Team Yandex | 36c | 80.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…b8d2backed Team Yandex | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked Team Yandex | 77c | 76.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Team Yandex | 41c | 74.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed PARIVISION | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6311…6a44backed PARIVISION | 44c | 71.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PARIVISION | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked PARIVISION | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed PARIVISION | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Team Yandex | 77c | 56.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b0…4758backed PARIVISION | 65c | 51.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed Team Yandex | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed PARIVISION | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked PARIVISION | 70c | 37.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed PARIVISION | 28c | 36.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Team Yandex | 37c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x817e…7c6cbacked Team Yandex | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…4134backed Team Yandex | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc98…b902backed Team Yandex | 38c | 33.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49db…3c97backed PARIVISION | 35c | 31.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed PARIVISION | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Team Yandex | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da9…14e9backed Team Yandex | 77c | 14.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.