Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12a4b0a5aab6b11dbf316a8991b703f9878ae3511cae49fae468d4dae8fb551a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof Team Falcons, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 46c | 7,498$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,016.21 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 68c | 3,656$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons | 39c | 1,841$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.64 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed GamerLegion | 20c | 1,525$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.38 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked GamerLegion | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked GamerLegion | 24c | 1,250$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.12 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Team Falcons | 74c | 1,037$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.75 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed GamerLegion | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Falcons | 50c | 974.83$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.34 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GamerLegion | 20c | 817.91$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.47 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Team Falcons | 42c | 810$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.2 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…1103backed Team Falcons | 1c | 760$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 55c | 728.39$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.49 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Falcons | 14c | 571.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…951cbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 360$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.2 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Falcons | 43c | 285$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 62c | 279.96$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.74 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons | 78c | 249.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 244.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Team Falcons | 78c | 241.03$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed GamerLegion | 60c | 216.85$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…ed23backed GamerLegion | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed GamerLegion | 56c | 123.08$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Falcons | 67c | 120$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked GamerLegion | 24c | 105.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.92 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed GamerLegion | 18c | 100.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.39 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed GamerLegion | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed GamerLegion | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed GamerLegion | 21c | 85.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…3f4abacked Team Falcons | 70c | 72.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…6c31backed GamerLegion | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked GamerLegion | 49c | 51.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Team Falcons | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Falcons | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed Team Falcons | 71c | 42.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed GamerLegion | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed GamerLegion | 26c | 38.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed GamerLegion | 38c | 26.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…04b6backed Team Falcons | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Team Falcons | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Team Falcons | 78c | 20.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Team Falcons | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…fc0ebacked Team Falcons | 72c | 19.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Team Falcons | 77c | 19.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 508 | 55.5%282 W · 226 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Team Falcons | 73c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.