TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiN Gamingof Team Yandex, paiN Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,711
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,711 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed paiN Gaming42c18,184$7,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,560.7433746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex77c6,000$4,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,612.0542650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Team Yandex77c5,253$4,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,044.6910445.2%47 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked paiN Gaming28c5,251$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,773.582,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Yandex61c4,562$2,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,764.751,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex54c4,461$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.041,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked paiN Gaming25c4,240$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.761,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Yandex72c3,044$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20047660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Team Yandex70c2,722$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.3619148.7%93 W · 98 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed Team Yandex55c2,193$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.0320949.3%103 W · 106 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex69c2,104$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.071,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex58c1,857$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.161,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed Team Yandex63c1,484$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94016058.8%94 W · 66 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Team Yandex76c1,310$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008648.8%42 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x649d…ec03backed paiN Gaming24c1,052$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.173941%16 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked paiN Gaming23c1,000$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77012061.7%74 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex65c707.44$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.651,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Yandex54c693.81$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.6236054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked paiN Gaming53c692.98$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.7477258.5%452 W · 320 L+74.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb82d…c40dbacked paiN Gaming46c671.07$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.845949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Team Yandex2c650$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex79c632.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50054556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked paiN Gaming37c618.83$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.7188166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed paiN Gaming50c580.9$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.0562650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed paiN Gaming24c540.47$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.471,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed paiN Gaming29c512.56$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.6214453.5%77 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7e0…0d61backed Team Yandex20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001520%3 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked paiN Gaming80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10091756.5%518 W · 399 L+79.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed paiN Gaming36c487.92$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.0826453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed paiN Gaming63c478.94$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9425457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed paiN Gaming52c465.88$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.2434044.4%151 W · 189 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Yandex58c452.66$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.0152243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x533e…47f4backed paiN Gaming74c420.23$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2611359.3%67 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed paiN Gaming44c391$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.969959.6%59 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed paiN Gaming39c382.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.1654445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed paiN Gaming55c365.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.69053.3%48 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed paiN Gaming37c365.38$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.1979559.4%472 W · 323 L+3.7wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed Team Yandex49c361.72$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2619664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Gaming34c326.65$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.412,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed paiN Gaming46c324.35$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1557355.5%318 W · 255 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb3e…9120backed paiN Gaming22c313.35$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.356634.8%23 W · 43 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed paiN Gaming56c310$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.459250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f03…7551backed Team Yandex66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Team Yandex60c301$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.064443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Yandex77c292.48$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.2129548.5%143 W · 152 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f72…adc6backed Team Yandex35c287.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.393066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed paiN Gaming37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2715131.8%48 W · 103 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed paiN Gaming43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5696357.3%552 W · 411 L+48.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed paiN Gaming23c209.52$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.527546.7%35 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Yandex44c197.34$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8399844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbda6…6ae0backed paiN Gaming53c175.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1636051.9%187 W · 173 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b84…48e3backed paiN Gaming34c173.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.613050%15 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Team Yandex77c171$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.674546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed paiN Gaming23c169.57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.574148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed paiN Gaming43c131.5$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6419147.6%91 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc208…e74fbacked paiN Gaming17c120.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.79757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+62.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Team Yandex77c120$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.97447.3%35 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb8…6c31backed paiN Gaming45c111.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.561163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed paiN Gaming79c110.38$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9333645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Team Yandex66c101.37$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4222954.1%124 W · 105 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00fb…4442backed Team Yandex62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628763.2%55 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Team Yandex79c95.61$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.532878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…03cbbacked paiN Gaming32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.759137.4%34 W · 57 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed paiN Gaming58c90.22$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1757654.5%314 W · 262 L+29.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc70b…8a4bbacked paiN Gaming59c90$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked paiN Gaming25c81.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.12634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex62c81.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.481,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Team Yandex50c80.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409548.4%46 W · 49 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3260…85ddbacked paiN Gaming44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.86454.7%35 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Yandex62c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.637654.8%206 W · 170 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed paiN Gaming23c60$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.247951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x209f…0eb4backed paiN Gaming43c59.7$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.033348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed paiN Gaming73c54.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.972154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ece…e3c8backed paiN Gaming37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.054136.6%15 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Team Yandex79c53$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.723040%12 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5524…2f3cbacked paiN Gaming38c52.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.826844.1%30 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbe8…e9d9backed Team Yandex55c52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.63360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Team Yandex78c50.08$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.065552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafa3…1f19backed Team Yandex20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…951cbacked Team Yandex77c48.87$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.634973.5%36 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0030…04e9backed Team Yandex72c42.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3134152.2%178 W · 163 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc98…b902backed Team Yandex78c41.61$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.581060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Yandex50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.831,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9bd…ed23backed paiN Gaming29c38.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.431844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed paiN Gaming39c34.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.031,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1b0e…eca9backed paiN Gaming73c32.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.884461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Team Yandex55c32.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.983056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe866…1a70backed paiN Gaming48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.611057.3%63 W · 47 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20a2…dc15backed Team Yandex51c26.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4440%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed paiN Gaming43c23.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.573145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Team Yandex65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136854.4%37 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da7…b914backed Team Yandex79c12.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102850%14 W · 14 L-5.6wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.