Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs paiN Gaming (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeec5eaa7ba365eae887139818f64d9f5b5f480c7c2bd55a872a6c9bc3d00e501
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Gamingof Team Yandex, paiN Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 4,124$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN Gaming | 41c | 2,519$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.8 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…17c3backed Team Yandex | 6c | 2,300$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…0f01backed paiN Gaming | 54c | 2,280$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.01 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +474.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed paiN Gaming | 64c | 2,004$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.94 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…7ba8backed Team Yandex | 1c | 1,800$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Team Yandex | 4c | 1,800$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 11cpaid | +242.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Team Yandex | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked Team Yandex | 1c | 1,400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Team Yandex | 3c | 1,300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +712.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Team Yandex | 80c | 1,250$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.2 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed paiN Gaming | 52c | 1,044$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.86 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Team Yandex | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Team Yandex | 2c | 610$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked paiN Gaming | 54c | 550$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…3ef3backed Team Yandex | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed paiN Gaming | 20c | 219.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.87 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN Gaming | 23c | 209.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.28 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Team Yandex | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Team Yandex | 74c | 186$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.98 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…0263backed paiN Gaming | 22c | 115$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Team Yandex | 75c | 106$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Team Yandex | 77c | 101.43$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked paiN Gaming | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Team Yandex | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed paiN Gaming | 28c | 93.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 127 | 20.5%26 W · 101 L | -22.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Team Yandex | 28c | 77.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Team Yandex | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed paiN Gaming | 34c | 58.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked paiN Gaming | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…656dbacked paiN Gaming | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…52d4backed paiN Gaming | 70c | 24.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Team Yandex | 75c | 23.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Gaming | 68c | 22.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…fad1backed Team Yandex | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 78cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…007bbacked Team Yandex | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 79cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs paiN Gaming (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 WinnerpaiN Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 WinnerpaiN Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.