Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12f72b5ad4c4448ce1718fc1732fb6177cb11dba0332f3d9892be23417fb8401
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Gamingof Team Yandex, paiN Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed paiN Gaming | 30c | 9,260$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,509.86 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 7,500$4,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,103.63 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed paiN Gaming | 30c | 7,060$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,957.95 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed paiN Gaming | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 64c | 4,807$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098.82 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Yandex | 71c | 4,438$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151.2 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Yandex | 63c | 3,332$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.9 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN Gaming | 43c | 2,707$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.96 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed paiN Gaming | 60c | 2,376$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.16 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Team Yandex | 44c | 2,267$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Yandex | 32c | 2,205$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.98 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed paiN Gaming | 29c | 2,064$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.97 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked paiN Gaming | 57c | 1,713$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.94 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed paiN Gaming | 61c | 1,159$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.02 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Team Yandex | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked paiN Gaming | 45c | 829.89$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.08 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 798.7$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.84 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed paiN Gaming | 31c | 774.21$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Team Yandex | 44c | 746.91$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee85…98e2backed paiN Gaming | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Team Yandex | 75c | 669.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex | 45c | 614.17$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.45 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Team Yandex | 4c | 598.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Team Yandex | 28c | 591.2$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.37 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Yandex | 70c | 576$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Team Yandex | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…6197backed Team Yandex | 70c | 499$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.3 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Yandex | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…7551backed Team Yandex | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked paiN Gaming | 45c | 411.37$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.25 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Yandex | 70c | 382.4$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.68 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Team Yandex | 53c | 380.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked paiN Gaming | 69c | 344.65$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.19 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Team Yandex | 71c | 337.58$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.98 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed paiN Gaming | 74c | 304.78$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.27 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed paiN Gaming | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…ec03backed Team Yandex | 34c | 290.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex | 71c | 275.42$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed paiN Gaming | 49c | 256.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Yandex | 6c | 250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed paiN Gaming | 51c | 240.03$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.64 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed paiN Gaming | 23c | 226$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.07 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…211bbacked Team Yandex | 46c | 225.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex | 68c | 212.37$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.22 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Yandex | 49c | 203.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Team Yandex | 10c | 165.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…dfa4backed Team Yandex | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Team Yandex | 70c | 141.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…caa6backed Team Yandex | 71c | 141$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Team Yandex | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +204.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…4134backed Team Yandex | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed paiN Gaming | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex | 43c | 114.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked paiN Gaming | 23c | 112.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed paiN Gaming | 61c | 106$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…8267backed Team Yandex | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…b8d2backed Team Yandex | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked paiN Gaming | 79c | 99.68$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Team Yandex | 51c | 90.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed paiN Gaming | 54c | 89.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Yandex | 28c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Team Yandex | 70c | 72.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Yandex | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed paiN Gaming | 41c | 61.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d643backed Team Yandex | 37c | 59.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe8…e9d9backed Team Yandex | 74c | 58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed Team Yandex | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Team Yandex | 71c | 57.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed Team Yandex | 46c | 54.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed paiN Gaming | 67c | 53.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed paiN Gaming | 29c | 53.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24a…0b53backed Team Yandex | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…951cbacked Team Yandex | 51c | 51.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed paiN Gaming | 29c | 51.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed paiN Gaming | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Yandex | 70c | 48.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed paiN Gaming | 32c | 41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Team Yandex | 37c | 40.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…c0f4backed Team Yandex | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Team Yandex | 42c | 37.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Team Yandex | 33c | 32.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked paiN Gaming | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c26…affabacked paiN Gaming | 68c | 29.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Yandex | 70c | 28.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf94…6ee5backed Team Yandex | 54c | 27.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed Team Yandex | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Team Yandex | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…eca9backed paiN Gaming | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c1…1fc1backed Team Yandex | 80c | 24.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed paiN Gaming | 73c | 20.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…63bebacked Team Yandex | 79c | 14.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs paiN Gaming (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group ApaiN Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 WinnerpaiN Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.