Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6789336c39603f782532c5a3fd6801f15aa9514bbe7827c5fa4be09924c7e980
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Over | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 67c | 2,358$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.14 | 1,097 | 52.3%574 W · 523 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 67c | 1,895$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.38 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Under | 67c | 1,194$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.03 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 70c | 1,066$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 38c | 930$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.18 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 62c | 893.41$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.92 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 33c | 847.7$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.74 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 59c | 803.67$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.82 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 17c | 639.32$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.98 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 65c | 530.99$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.05 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…7663backed Under | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Under | 53c | 441.51$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.51 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 34c | 441$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 69c | 318.4$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.18 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 22c | 264.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.13 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Under | 67c | 255.22$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 299 | 44.1%132 W · 167 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 42c | 250$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.33 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 66c | 237.71$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 67c | 163.43$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 35c | 152.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 195 | 61.5%120 W · 75 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 72c | 141.9$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Over | 35c | 141.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Under | 53c | 127.63$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…4367backed Over | 35c | 111.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Under | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…e997backed Over | 53c | 92.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 50c | 90.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 33c | 86.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 55c | 80.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 56c | 65.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…b7c4backed Over | 58c | 59.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…a974backed Under | 73c | 58.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 39c | 57.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 26c | 51.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 259 | 52.1%135 W · 124 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 422 | 50%211 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 32c | 49.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 31c | 44.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Over | 49c | 42.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 46c | 41.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 411 | 41.6%171 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 45c | 35.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 39c | 32.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 405 | 43.7%177 W · 228 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 64c | 28.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 66c | 22.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…1920backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 202 | 69.3%140 W · 62 L | +16.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2HANJIN BRION won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.