NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d8a17cd2d0f43a8a3b830e7fe4d8b3ccc4a857d9654f71b9a1951b8d8c34975
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Thunder, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 85,402$47,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,751.95 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Thunder | 44c | 67,999$29,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,919.69 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Thunder | 48c | 52,131$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Timberwolves | 53c | 30,673$16,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,416.51 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Timberwolves | 52c | 25,812$13,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,331.5 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Timberwolves | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Timberwolves | 53c | 17,087$9,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,030.85 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc9…26fbbacked Thunder | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder | 47c | 9,103$4,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,302.91 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 47c | 6,674$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Timberwolves | 48c | 6,284$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.31 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Timberwolves | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 48c | 4,885$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Thunder | 52c | 4,800$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Thunder | 47c | 4,428$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.96 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Thunder | 49c | 4,270$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Timberwolves | 50c | 4,099$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.91 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 47c | 4,031$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.72 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Thunder | 47c | 4,002$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.94 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Timberwolves | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Thunder | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.16 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Timberwolves | 52c | 3,258$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.61 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Thunder | 47c | 2,518$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.59 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 47c | 2,028$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.81 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Thunder | 47c | 1,909$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.27 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 49c | 1,740$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,663$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.93 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Thunder | 46c | 1,478$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.17 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,421$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.87 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Thunder | 55c | 1,330$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.5 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,258$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.73 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Thunder | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Thunder | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Timberwolves | 53c | 999.98$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.49 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Thunder | 42c | 710$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.2 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Thunder | 51c | 653.92$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.69 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Thunder | 47c | 638.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.33 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 47c | 614$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.58 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…f6f2backed Thunder | 47c | 583$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Thunder | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Thunder | 44c | 495.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.07 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Thunder | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Thunder | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Thunder | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…3db2backed Thunder | 50c | 415.55$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…059ebacked Thunder | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Thunder | 47c | 399.81$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.91 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 45c | 387.94$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.63 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Thunder | 48c | 382$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.46 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 52c | 348.29$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.11 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Timberwolves | 57c | 331$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Thunder | 53c | 289$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.28 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 49c | 270.44$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Thunder | 48c | 250.04$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.34 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 237.33$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 224.7$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 48c | 217.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Thunder | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Thunder | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Thunder | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Thunder | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…a2f0backed Timberwolves | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Timberwolves | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Timberwolves | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Timberwolves | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Timberwolves | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Thunder | 47c | 170$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 136$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8570backed Timberwolves | 54c | 129$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 48c | 124.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 49c | 122.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Thunder | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Timberwolves | 57c | 116$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Thunder | 47c | 113.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Thunder | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Timberwolves | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Thunder | 47c | 108.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79f…e8fbbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 102$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Thunder | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb27…18d2backed Thunder | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9003…8937backed Thunder | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…4dafbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 78.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Timberwolves | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc88…3293backed Thunder | 44c | 67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0387…c6b8backed Thunder | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…ff5bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 59.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves | 50c | 57.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…d245backed Timberwolves | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30df…e573backed Thunder | 30c | 54.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Thunder | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 380 | 50.8%193 W · 187 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Thunder | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Thunder | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Thunder | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Thunder | 48c | 50.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…e997backed Timberwolves | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)this page
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Thunder vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.