NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0e214ac1bb3c909bb6393b8e6ed0daebfa16078e9b093abdec6772eb065feeb

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Timberwolvesof Thunder, Timberwolves
Resolved: Dec 20, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $40,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,574 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf953…53eabacked Timberwolves	51c	6,290$3,237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,053.19	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	50cpaid	+60.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Thunder	48c	6,050$2,904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,904	163	39.3%64 W · 99 L	-10.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Thunder	45c	4,420$2,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,009.78	483	47.2%228 W · 255 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Thunder	49c	3,457$1,694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,693.97	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder	50c	2,733$1,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,369.5	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3024…c4acbacked Timberwolves	55c	2,550$1,402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,147.34	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thunder	52c	1,676$867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$867.11	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves	53c	1,505$793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$711.7	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Timberwolves	54c	1,233$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$567.33	235	50.2%118 W · 117 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Thunder	45c	1,101$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.5	356	51.1%182 W · 174 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62d8…4867backed Thunder	46c	1,090$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.4	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Timberwolves	56c	1,071$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$471.43	489	57.5%281 W · 208 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Timberwolves	58c	972.12$564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.29	152	44.1%67 W · 85 L	-14.4wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x69e1…6851backed Timberwolves	53c	949.99$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446.5	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c19…3ec0backed Thunder	46c	900$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves	46c	818.06$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.21	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder	45c	630$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.5	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Timberwolves	47c	550$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.5	130	40%52 W · 78 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Timberwolves	55c	536.36$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Thunder	49c	400$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	261	50.2%131 W · 130 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Timberwolves	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	210	55.2%116 W · 94 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0f…30e6backed Timberwolves	53c	380$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.6	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffb2…3bb5backed Timberwolves	73c	378.07$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.07	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8845…0c7dbacked Thunder	46c	345$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.7	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves	56c	336.39$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.06	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder	27c	311.17$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.02	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6719…1e71backed Thunder	4c	305.17$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Timberwolves	54c	304.35$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	177	44.1%78 W · 99 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04dc…ee8dbacked Timberwolves	55c	303.64$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.64	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Thunder	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	170	35.9%61 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Timberwolves	58c	200.24$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.52	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Thunder	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Thunder	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Timberwolves	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	81	32.1%26 W · 55 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Timberwolves	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Thunder	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	271	61.3%166 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Timberwolves	52c	188.53$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.49	189	54.5%103 W · 86 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Timberwolves	56c	178.74$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.74	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Timberwolves	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	94	58.5%55 W · 39 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8776…1ca3backed Timberwolves	59c	170.51$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.51	63	36.5%23 W · 40 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Timberwolves	50c	151.16$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.58	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Thunder	45c	145$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.25	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Thunder	45c	133.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+38.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x663e…d35bbacked Timberwolves	54c	129$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.34	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves	55c	129$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.34	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Timberwolves	59c	114$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.74	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Timberwolves	56c	104$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.76	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Timberwolves	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	332	46.1%153 W · 179 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Timberwolves	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Timberwolves	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	628	48.7%306 W · 322 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e601backed Timberwolves	56c	98.46$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.32	135	50.4%68 W · 67 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Thunder	45c	95.45$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	314	30.3%95 W · 219 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Timberwolves	56c	95$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.8	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf195…66e2backed Thunder	44c	90.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-3.8wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-14%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed Timberwolves	56c	89.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	99	41.4%41 W · 58 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves	58c	89.28$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Timberwolves	58c	89$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.38	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+6.5wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Timberwolves	57c	85$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.55	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd854…924fbacked Timberwolves	59c	84$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.44	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Timberwolves	61c	81.97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.97	96	60.4%58 W · 38 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Thunder	47c	81.85$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.2	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Timberwolves	55c	80$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Timberwolves	59c	79$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.39	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Thunder	54c	75.25$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.53	526	43%226 W · 300 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Timberwolves	59c	70$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.7	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Timberwolves	59c	68$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.88	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f3…dcdebacked Thunder	47c	67$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.49	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Timberwolves	57c	64.71$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.83	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Timberwolves	57c	63$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.09	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	-6.0wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd45c…5c43backed Thunder	47c	62$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.14	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Thunder	34c	59.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.08	98	28.6%28 W · 70 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Timberwolves	57c	59$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.37	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13f4…03b0backed Thunder	47c	56$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.32	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Thunder	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Thunder	43c	52.11$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.16	346	44.2%153 W · 193 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bef…b7c2backed Thunder	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5877…4332backed Thunder	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Thunder	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	242	48.3%117 W · 125 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Thunder	41c	39$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.99	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6191…e505backed Thunder	44c	38$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.72	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xee35…11ecbacked Timberwolves	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6f8…256ebacked Timberwolves	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	95	47.4%45 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Timberwolves	59c	35$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.35	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ab…7ecdbacked Thunder	46c	35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Thunder	33c	34$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.09	243	34.2%83 W · 160 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ba…2117backed Thunder	43c	34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.62	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Thunder	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	103	45.6%47 W · 56 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb82…c668backed Thunder	45c	33.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdc7…31c0backed Timberwolves	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	87	46%40 W · 47 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe11a…d47ebacked Thunder	44c	33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.52	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4889…9b17backed Thunder	44c	33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.52	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Timberwolves	57c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.9	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9db…ab38backed Thunder	43c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08cc…da60backed Thunder	47c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Thunder	43c	29$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.47	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-4.1wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd289…98b5backed Thunder	43c	29$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.47	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+6.0wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfd23…3742backed Timberwolves	49c	28.57$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.57	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Thunder	41c	28$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.48	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a7c…1214backed Thunder	44c	28$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.32	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Thunder	54c	27.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	173	50.9%88 W · 85 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)this page
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Timberwolves won
Thunder vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Under won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Under won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event