Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x697669a5374d6322589fda661d0082e4db59ff5588a423fd5d8dfbe06782f950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac0d…b006backed OG | 58c | 15,270$8,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,411.76 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed OG | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yakult Brothers | 36c | 9,539$3,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.85 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yakult Brothers | 41c | 6,675$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.65 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Yakult Brothers | 41c | 6,267$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.84 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked OG | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 4,850$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 3,942$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.7 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 2,953$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.77 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 2,890$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.53 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 1,968$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.61 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 1,856$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.62 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed OG | 67c | 1,855$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.12 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Yakult Brothers | 2c | 1,818$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 1,717$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.73 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed OG | 71c | 1,600$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed OG | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked OG | 66c | 1,512$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.31 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed OG | 63c | 1,255$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.9 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed OG | 65c | 1,234$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.17 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.02 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd02…9de4backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 1,190$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 1,161$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.74 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yakult Brothers | 24c | 1,113$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed OG | 65c | 1,081$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.89 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…129abacked Yakult Brothers | 31c | 1,040$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked OG | 69c | 995.47$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.13 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 995$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.56 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 960$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.8 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…dbb1backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5d…5c2cbacked OG | 69c | 770$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 62c | 701.77$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.59 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5f…fc17backed OG | 69c | 650$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 640.35$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.37 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ba…2b97backed Yakult Brothers | 30c | 621$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Yakult Brothers | 33c | 590.91$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed OG | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked OG | 66c | 542.5$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.97 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa085…8fc2backed OG | 70c | 520$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 499.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed OG | 69c | 463.98$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.98 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yakult Brothers | 13c | 429.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…7c64backed OG | 69c | 420$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…b9c0backed Yakult Brothers | 8c | 410$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked OG | 69c | 405.8$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7f…e34cbacked OG | 69c | 390$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yakult Brothers | 29c | 381.58$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Yakult Brothers | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…fe74backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 344$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked OG | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Yakult Brothers | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Yakult Brothers | 18c | 300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 295.76$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked OG | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 271$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…9f77backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 264.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…a111backed OG | 68c | 256.43$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed OG | 58c | 249.97$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07f…2edfbacked OG | 69c | 214$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed OG | 68c | 210$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Yakult Brothers | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed OG | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked OG | 66c | 198$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 191.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked OG | 68c | 181.22$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +52%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed OG | 67c | 180.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…e997backed OG | 65c | 178.46$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 162$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed OG | 67c | 156.84$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Yakult Brothers | 32c | 152$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +36%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Yakult Brothers | 20c | 151.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 150$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked OG | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 133.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1840…e9c5backed OG | 69c | 130$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 125.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yakult Brothers | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed Yakult Brothers | 41c | 118.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…1494backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 109.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked OG | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…c5e1backed OG | 70c | 101$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0250…b242backed OG | 69c | 100.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Yakult Brothers | 30c | 98.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 94.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5eb…7c14backed OG | 69c | 85.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…3b3cbacked OG | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed Yakult Brothers | 27c | 69.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Yakult Brothers | 31c | 65.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked OG | 63c | 62.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33da…f818backed OG | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…4927backed OG | 70c | 57.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 54.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…802abacked Yakult Brothers | 20c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.