Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sparta Rotterdam vs. NAC Breda: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d599c8494492d36eea8b0928056f2f3739184280ecd5eef958d13fe19220179
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 4,803$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.67 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 3,276$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.62 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 35c | 791.59$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.79 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 56c | 465.19$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.19 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 78c | 393.67$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Over | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 52c | 236.94$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.96 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 56c | 192.29$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.93 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Over | 67c | 190.7$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…50e0backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 122.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 54c | 115.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 20c | 113$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 57c | 107.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 21c | 91.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 20c | 84.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…75e0backed Over | 80c | 68.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 80cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…7b19backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 21c | 62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 39c | 40.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 65c | 38.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…98b6backed Over | 68c | 22.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…493fbacked Over | 80c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. NAC Breda: O/U 1.5this page
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. NAC Breda: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. NAC Breda: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Sparta Rotterdam (-1.5)NAC Breda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.