Premier League · resolved market
Everton FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x810b84edbc05cf74a15adff2f07fec302f8a4ec3082daf830493b69fc7497c0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 1,811$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.33 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Over | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Under | 33c | 599.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 67c | 514.89$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.17 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 398.38$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.18 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 30c | 361.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.53 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 17c | 99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 20c | 97.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Over | 22c | 84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 77c | 71.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Over | 22c | 70$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Over | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Over | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Over | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Over | 70c | 40.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 25 | 92%23 W · 2 L | +8.7wins | +0.35per pick | 57cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Over | 67c | 40.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Under | 78c | 39.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x181d…c7e8backed Under | 75c | 37.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -6.1wins | -0.26per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Under | 78c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e4…0641backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 78c | 24.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Under | 78c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Under | 78c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Under | 78c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Everton FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Everton FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Everton FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.