Premier League · resolved market
Everton FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc49e1b82f473541e05e4944c2303cc2544227c398a207345a48ffcb173450427
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 44c | 3,066$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.23 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Under | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…497bbacked Under | 1c | 2,575$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 1,819$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.7 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 56c | 1,220$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.28 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 44c | 1,215$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.13 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Over | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 346.37$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.31 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 343.59$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.83 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 57c | 339.84$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.12 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over | 44c | 320$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 50c | 301.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed Under | 54c | 300.42$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.78 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 67cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 58c | 237.93$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…0493backed Over | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 63c | 142.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Over | 54c | 115$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Over | 43c | 98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…7eeabacked Under | 48c | 89.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 52c | 88.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfe…8aaebacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 53c | 68.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Over | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 56c | 54.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Under | 56c | 53.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…6455backed Under | 57c | 52.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 52c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 53c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 55c | 44.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 43c | 41.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Over | 44c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 58c | 38.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 38c | 34.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…f4d2backed Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…eae9backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 41c | 29.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…526dbacked Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…7eb8backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Under | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Under | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Under | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Everton FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Everton FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Everton FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.