Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Maine Black Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60636cdfb1ea7167aed071d0ab3bc2c07bafdcc33120dd0c8dfbf6861d240b43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Hampshire Wildcatsof New Hampshire Wildcats, Maine Black Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 45c | 1,441$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.41 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maine Black Bears | 53c | 815.01$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.44 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Maine Black Bears | 2c | 809.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 51c | 723.2$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.86 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Maine Black Bears | 33c | 400$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.76 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Maine Black Bears | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 45c | 344.38$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.41 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Maine Black Bears | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Maine Black Bears | 56c | 274$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.44 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Maine Black Bears | 56c | 265.89$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.06 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Maine Black Bears | 55c | 245.76$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.17 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maine Black Bears | 54c | 212$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.48 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Maine Black Bears | 50c | 195$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 45c | 183.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Maine Black Bears | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 70c | 164.54$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maine Black Bears | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Maine Black Bears | 23c | 145$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 52c | 134$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 44c | 132.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 44c | 112.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Maine Black Bears | 55c | 104$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Maine Black Bears | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maine Black Bears | 54c | 77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Maine Black Bears | 55c | 73.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Maine Black Bears | 14c | 72.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Maine Black Bears | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…ef30backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Maine Black Bears | 55c | 42.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 45c | 40.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Maine Black Bears | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6300…439fbacked Maine Black Bears | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…8bc8backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddf…42f6backed Maine Black Bears | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…30d4backed Maine Black Bears | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Maine Black Bears | 55c | 21.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…2e3cbacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 74c | 17.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Maine Black Bearsthis page
- New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Maine Black Bears: O/U 128.5Under won
- New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Maine Black Bears: O/U 129.5Under won
- New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Maine Black Bears: O/U 130.5Under won
- Spread: Maine Black Bears (-1.5)New Hampshire Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.