Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Maine Black Bears: O/U 129.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6939d6e5e3eac832ab58f25215ca35cc620459411deb3759a170a39ff8af3af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $336,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $337,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 332,812$176,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176,377.45 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 278,554$130,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,633.76 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 47c | 49,411$23,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,187.79 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 48c | 920.83$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.83 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 53c | 716.59$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.79 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 661.1$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.34 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 581.97$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.96 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 539$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.22 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 54c | 134.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 113.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Over | 54c | 60.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 47c | 48.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 52c | 47.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 42.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 47c | 40.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 37.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 26.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Maine Black Bears: O/U 129.5this page
- New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Maine Black BearsNew Hampshire Wildcats won
- New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Maine Black Bears: O/U 128.5Under won
- New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Maine Black Bears: O/U 130.5Under won
- Spread: Maine Black Bears (-1.5)New Hampshire Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.