Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Florida State Seminoles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x284f52dc912d59edfcdcad2f971a9ee8b5b304732caf5466ef18a22814ed5139
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina State Wolfpackof North Carolina State Wolfpack, Florida State Seminoles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5387…c91ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 68c | 1,600$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 64c | 1,504$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.44 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Florida State Seminoles | 27c | 1,261$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.52 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 74c | 1,109$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.49 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Florida State Seminoles | 24c | 1,092$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.5 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Florida State Seminoles | 34c | 1,054$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.12 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 64c | 1,032$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.85 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida State Seminoles | 36c | 772.93$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Florida State Seminoles | 30c | 669$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.7 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 62c | 566.32$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.2 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Florida State Seminoles | 29c | 530.62$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.06 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Florida State Seminoles | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Florida State Seminoles | 34c | 343.64$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.84 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Florida State Seminoles | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Florida State Seminoles | 4c | 287.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked Florida State Seminoles | 29c | 235.86$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Florida State Seminoles | 9c | 213.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 77c | 188$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida State Seminoles | 34c | 168.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 74c | 168.25$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 76c | 156.09$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Florida State Seminoles | 29c | 146.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 77c | 118$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Florida State Seminoles | 29c | 99.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Florida State Seminoles | 28c | 95.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 79c | 88.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Florida State Seminoles | 21c | 60.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Florida State Seminoles | 30c | 50.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 69c | 45.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Florida State Seminoles | 35c | 36.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 55c | 34.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…e4bdbacked Florida State Seminoles | 45c | 33.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e21…7defbacked Florida State Seminoles | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…2e3cbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 68c | 22.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…652dbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 70c | 22.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 66c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 80c | 15.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ca…5163backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Florida State Seminolesthis page
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Florida State Seminoles: O/U 159.5Over won
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Florida State Seminoles: O/U 161.5Over won
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-4.5)North Carolina State Wolfpack won
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-5.5)North Carolina State Wolfpack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.