Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Baylor Bears vs. TCU Horned Frogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fea15b6815d657c9bc149c28a586e05a7c3241cc911538b0ee8b75334777e60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TCU Horned Frogsof Baylor Bears, TCU Horned Frogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Baylor Bears | 3c | 3,213$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Baylor Bears | 45c | 2,931$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.39 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 56c | 2,514$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Baylor Bears | 11c | 2,477$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.81 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed TCU Horned Frogs | 57c | 1,990$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.79 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 68c | 1,543$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.74 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Baylor Bears | 44c | 1,168$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.08 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Baylor Bears | 26c | 1,091$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.13 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baylor Bears | 11c | 1,091$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Baylor Bears | 11c | 1,010$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.78 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Baylor Bears | 4c | 975.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Baylor Bears | 45c | 896$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.21 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 66c | 761.29$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.84 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Baylor Bears | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed TCU Horned Frogs | 71c | 674.22$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Baylor Bears | 28c | 566.85$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Baylor Bears | 12c | 466.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Baylor Bears | 43c | 402$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.86 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Baylor Bears | 22c | 395.74$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed TCU Horned Frogs | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Baylor Bears | 19c | 268.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…c62bbacked Baylor Bears | 44c | 225.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Baylor Bears | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Baylor Bears | 10c | 188.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Baylor Bears | 8c | 166.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed TCU Horned Frogs | 77c | 154.32$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed TCU Horned Frogs | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Baylor Bears | 15c | 130.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Baylor Bears | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 76c | 99.47$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Baylor Bears | 13c | 91.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Baylor Bears | 41c | 73.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Baylor Bears | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…2e3cbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 76c | 52.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed TCU Horned Frogs | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed TCU Horned Frogs | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Baylor Bears | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 70c | 28.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baylor Bears vs. TCU Horned Frogsthis page
- Baylor Bears vs. TCU Horned Frogs: O/U 152.5Under won
- Baylor Bears vs. TCU Horned Frogs: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-1.5)TCU Horned Frogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.