Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Little Rock Trojans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ca943bcc5b999ce3de657f7618e225828f48cc43c34912f7e837fb758f48716
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennessee State Tigersof Tennessee State Tigers, Little Rock Trojans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Little Rock Trojans | 50c | 7,130$3,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tennessee State Tigers | 63c | 3,040$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.32 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 50c | 3,023$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.3 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Tennessee State Tigers | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Little Rock Trojans | 26c | 2,069$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.92 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Little Rock Trojans | 26c | 1,830$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.87 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 76c | 1,729$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.59 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 52c | 1,247$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Little Rock Trojans | 36c | 887.66$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.77 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Little Rock Trojans | 33c | 775.86$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.77 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 49c | 705.19$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.94 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 51c | 692$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.38 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Little Rock Trojans | 19c | 307.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Little Rock Trojans | 27c | 305.89$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tennessee State Tigers | 47c | 294$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.82 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Little Rock Trojans | 13c | 227.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 74c | 190$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Tennessee State Tigers | 58c | 145$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Little Rock Trojans | 26c | 131.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Tennessee State Tigers | 50c | 101$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Little Rock Trojans | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Little Rock Trojans | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Tennessee State Tigers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Little Rock Trojans | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Tennessee State Tigers | 63c | 65.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Little Rock Trojans | 33c | 61.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Tennessee State Tigers | 48c | 58.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Little Rock Trojans | 30c | 57.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tennessee State Tigers | 50c | 44.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Tennessee State Tigers | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Tennessee State Tigers | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tennessee State Tigers | 68c | 15.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Little Rock Trojansthis page
- Spread: Tennessee State Tigers (-1.5)Tennessee State Tigers won
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Little Rock Trojans: O/U 142.5Over won
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Little Rock Trojans: O/U 143.5Over won
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Little Rock Trojans: O/U 146.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.