Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
BYU Cougars vs. Kansas State Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3455a475ab422e20927238828b27875ff50fa374efe601559265a82bd9ba4b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYU Cougarsof BYU Cougars, Kansas State Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed BYU Cougars | 77c | 6,609$5,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.28 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 23c | 2,998$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.67 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 8c | 2,752$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.08 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kansas State Wildcats | 10c | 2,595$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.64 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Kansas State Wildcats | 26c | 2,465$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.23 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Kansas State Wildcats | 23c | 988.44$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.34 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed BYU Cougars | 80c | 901.76$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked BYU Cougars | 75c | 887$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.75 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Kansas State Wildcats | 14c | 790.35$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.66 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987d…0d48backed Kansas State Wildcats | 3c | 720.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Kansas State Wildcats | 26c | 607.28$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.15 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kansas State Wildcats | 4c | 542.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked BYU Cougars | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas State Wildcats | 33c | 321.06$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.76 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d74…244ebacked BYU Cougars | 77c | 259.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked BYU Cougars | 80c | 247.47$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 26c | 239.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 24c | 209.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…c9edbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Kansas State Wildcats | 23c | 192$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Kansas State Wildcats | 24c | 166$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…3f68backed Kansas State Wildcats | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 24c | 93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 27c | 92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 24c | 89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked BYU Cougars | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked BYU Cougars | 76c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…2e3cbacked BYU Cougars | 66c | 37.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed BYU Cougars | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked BYU Cougars | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed BYU Cougars | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked BYU Cougars | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked BYU Cougars | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed BYU Cougars | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BYU Cougars vs. Kansas State Wildcatsthis page
- BYU Cougars vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 170.5Under won
- BYU Cougars vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 171.5Under won
- BYU Cougars vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 172.5Under won
- BYU Cougars vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 173.5Under won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-10.5)Kansas State Wildcats won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-14.5)Kansas State Wildcats won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-6.5)BYU Cougars won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-7.5)BYU Cougars won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-8.5)BYU Cougars won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-9.5)BYU Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.