Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Toledo Rockets vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18147b0d88eac3d0527c8149811918cde80d3a68cf24b7cbffcb6e8eeda91fc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami (OH) RedHawksof Toledo Rockets, Miami (OH) RedHawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Toledo Rockets | 12c | 12,211$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.87 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 78c | 10,765$8,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.44 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Toledo Rockets | 22c | 5,009$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.89 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toledo Rockets | 11c | 2,662$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.68 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 80c | 1,950$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.02 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Toledo Rockets | 23c | 1,626$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.04 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Toledo Rockets | 23c | 1,299$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.14 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 79c | 1,239$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.51 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Toledo Rockets | 10c | 1,141$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.44 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 77c | 1,111$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.53 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Toledo Rockets | 21c | 1,025$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.33 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Toledo Rockets | 21c | 987.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.29 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Toledo Rockets | 19c | 844.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.44 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toledo Rockets | 20c | 575.71$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.32 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…737ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 77c | 480.12$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.43 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Toledo Rockets | 21c | 465.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.41 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…88febacked Toledo Rockets | 23c | 432.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Toledo Rockets | 24c | 397.48$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Toledo Rockets | 21c | 396.64$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 79c | 379.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.27 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Toledo Rockets | 26c | 368.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Toledo Rockets | 21c | 305$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Toledo Rockets | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Toledo Rockets | 22c | 229.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Toledo Rockets | 21c | 225.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Toledo Rockets | 18c | 223.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Toledo Rockets | 22c | 222.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Toledo Rockets | 20c | 198.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…c496backed Toledo Rockets | 20c | 194.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 78c | 191.15$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 75c | 190.8$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Toledo Rockets | 23c | 190.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89af…cd79backed Toledo Rockets | 20c | 183.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Toledo Rockets | 16c | 165.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Toledo Rockets | 19c | 150.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 76c | 146.49$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492d…2f04backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 80c | 142.05$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 79c | 138.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…7132backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 77c | 129.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Toledo Rockets | 30c | 124.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Toledo Rockets | 20c | 121.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Toledo Rockets | 23c | 107.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Toledo Rockets | 21c | 101.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Toledo Rockets | 22c | 101.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Toledo Rockets | 20c | 99.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d00…553dbacked Toledo Rockets | 20c | 99.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 78c | 90.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Toledo Rockets | 21c | 81.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 77c | 76.93$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Toledo Rockets | 21c | 71.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…fb49backed Toledo Rockets | 21c | 69.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toledo Rockets | 16c | 67.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Toledo Rockets | 25c | 63.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Toledo Rockets | 20c | 58.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Toledo Rockets | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 80c | 39.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 49 | 87.8%43 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 77cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 78c | 31.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 77c | 24.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 78c | 14.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toledo Rockets vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksthis page
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-7.5)Toledo Rockets won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-8.5)Toledo Rockets won
- Toledo Rockets vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 162.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.