Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c18567c57d159cabc94a130f4ff477332952fa86691a45f8cd777991d16cd8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nebraska Cornhuskersof Indiana Hoosiers, Nebraska Cornhuskers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,500 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 49c | 49,970$24,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,484.7 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 4,482$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.63 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 2,400$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 49c | 1,158$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.33 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 449.45$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.69 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…3f90backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 333.63$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 235.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.49 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 45c | 197.51$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Indiana Hoosiers | 55c | 184.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 50c | 92.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 50c | 92.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Indiana Hoosiers | 50c | 60.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 47c | 53.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 54c | 48.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 50c | 44.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Indiana Hoosiers | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 23.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…ce53backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-4.5)this page
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Indiana HoosiersNebraska Cornhuskers won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 148.5Over won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 149.5Over won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 151.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-3.5)Nebraska Cornhuskers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.