Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06393bb6073c0500a5a2846fff04b1f03f0c9b630393b03284ef52e6a0d42be7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nebraska Cornhuskersof Indiana Hoosiers, Nebraska Cornhuskers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 45c | 2,235$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.87 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Indiana Hoosiers | 63c | 1,590$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Indiana Hoosiers | 55c | 1,276$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.71 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 45c | 1,240$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 52c | 761.19$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.56 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Indiana Hoosiers | 54c | 733.59$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.12 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Indiana Hoosiers | 54c | 552$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.61 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Indiana Hoosiers | 54c | 488$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.52 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 44c | 477.27$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.27 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 376$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.36 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Indiana Hoosiers | 49c | 343$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.07 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 46c | 280$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 50c | 248$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.84 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47c | 229.81$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.17 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 46c | 206.38$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Indiana Hoosiers | 52c | 175.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…8e5abacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 48c | 169.06$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 148.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Indiana Hoosiers | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 46c | 94.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 48c | 86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 66.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 54.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…5537backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 46c | 53.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 35c | 51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc4…2a5cbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 48c | 45.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Indiana Hoosiers | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-3.5)this page
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Indiana HoosiersNebraska Cornhuskers won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 148.5Over won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 149.5Over won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 151.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-4.5)Nebraska Cornhuskers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.