Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Dayton Flyers vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5471b36fc20e60c1969514957fceef286975d9f4db5f51920840580d3a2b5675
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dayton Flyersof Dayton Flyers, Loyola Chicago Ramblers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Dayton Flyers | 76c | 7,589$5,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.46 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 53c | 3,144$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.82 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 54c | 3,004$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.93 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Dayton Flyers | 60c | 1,788$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.08 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 23c | 1,555$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.68 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 24c | 1,435$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.36 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dayton Flyers | 40c | 1,395$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.17 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dayton Flyers | 51c | 1,246$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.06 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Dayton Flyers | 30c | 1,088$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.31 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 36c | 1,082$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.33 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dayton Flyers | 50c | 853.62$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.15 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 24c | 710.02$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.26 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 25c | 640$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.9 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Dayton Flyers | 78c | 600$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 41c | 575.11$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.59 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 61c | 550.67$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.9 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6e…167abacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 68c | 517.04$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 5c | 485.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Dayton Flyers | 49c | 436.9$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.74 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 24c | 425$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 25c | 387.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Dayton Flyers | 70c | 332.15$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.64 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Dayton Flyers | 60c | 328.45$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.43 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…997cbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 61c | 326.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Dayton Flyers | 47c | 285$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.73 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…9d94backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 29c | 242.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Dayton Flyers | 52c | 218.47$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Dayton Flyers | 72c | 197$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Dayton Flyers | 14c | 180$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.9 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 23c | 168.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Dayton Flyers | 50c | 148.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 71c | 140.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Dayton Flyers | 41c | 120.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.43 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 24c | 116.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Dayton Flyers | 45c | 114.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…157bbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 26c | 95.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Dayton Flyers | 47c | 69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Dayton Flyers | 33c | 58.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…dcf4backed Dayton Flyers | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfebf…0679backed Dayton Flyers | 37c | 48.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b2…95fdbacked Dayton Flyers | 38c | 47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Dayton Flyers | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 97 | 71.1%69 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Dayton Flyers | 34c | 45.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Dayton Flyers | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 59c | 42.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…7602backed Dayton Flyers | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Dayton Flyers | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 63c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Dayton Flyers | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Dayton Flyers | 47c | 29.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Dayton Flyers | 71c | 28.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x554f…afb4backed Dayton Flyers | 43c | 23.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 54c | 22.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dayton Flyers | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Dayton Flyers | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…023ebacked Dayton Flyers | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dayton Flyers vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblersthis page
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-8.5)Loyola Chicago Ramblers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.