Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x056d2885739ef186caed1ca20f421e5e06f2bdffd900861d42e843d72643fae3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 25c | 878.57$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.67 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…81d9backed Yes | 31c | 830.09$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.95 | 420 | 36.4%153 W · 267 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…da78backed Yes | 33c | 793.11$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.15 | 265 | 33.2%88 W · 177 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…8674backed Yes | 22c | 738.4$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.11 | 467 | 33.4%156 W · 311 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 34c | 732.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.85 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd1…d8f4backed Yes | 24c | 626.54$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.42 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 35c | 595.88$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.66 | 599 | 23.5%141 W · 458 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Yes | 44c | 426$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 155 | 27.7%43 W · 112 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b58…d734backed Yes | 22c | 420.7$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.59 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 68c | 417$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.6 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 61c | 416.05$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.29 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 63c | 414.5$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.33 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 17c | 307.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.58 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 57c | 306.28$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.4 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 62c | 301$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.45 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Yes | 37c | 247.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.95 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 21c | 231.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.73 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 22c | 231.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.36 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…9599backed Yes | 78c | 212.83$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Yes | 9c | 209.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.78 | 142 | 22.5%32 W · 110 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 61c | 200$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 62c | 176.7$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 67c | 142.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…94cbbacked Yes | 20c | 141$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.26 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 16c | 135.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.74 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 33c | 133.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…6b73backed No | 66c | 120$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 43c | 111.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 17c | 111.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.71 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 32c | 101$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 155 | 29%45 W · 110 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 18c | 97.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 71c | 97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 60c | 91.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…b8febacked No | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 286 | 66.8%191 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 33c | 76.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 64c | 75.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…2fc3backed Yes | 37c | 67.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 35c | 67.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked No | 65c | 65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 419 | 66.6%279 W · 140 L | +36.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 45c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…1f86backed Yes | 31c | 63.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 235 | 60%141 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…2fe3backed Yes | 38c | 62.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 70c | 56.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 25c | 55.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 24c | 51.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…fecebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 261 | 42.1%110 W · 151 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked No | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 181 | 31.5%57 W · 124 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 63c | 47.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x956c…1c6ebacked Yes | 34c | 47.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 76c | 40.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…395bbacked Yes | 28c | 40.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 336 | 28.9%97 W · 239 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 63c | 39.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 72c | 39.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 76c | 36.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 74c | 35.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 61c | 34.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 74c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 34c | 30.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…0f6ebacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 60c | 27.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 64c | 25.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…149bbacked No | 65c | 25.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 205 | 69.8%143 W · 62 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 69c | 25.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…3017backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 152 | 58.6%89 W · 63 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed Yes | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…2639backed Yes | 47c | 23.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 64c | 22.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 69c | 22.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 317 | 66.9%212 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb692…7c83backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 117 | 70.9%83 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…767bbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 62c | 19.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…2dc1backed No | 64c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 280 | 68.6%192 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 80c | 17.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on August 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.