World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd903d3198396fb770b558bf19240e849c1231800252618bf57132d4537d22ac2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 60c | 918$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…a2bebacked Yes | 36c | 573.64$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 35c | 572.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…39d5backed Yes | 32c | 380.15$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 22c | 319.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e82…8272backed Yes | 31c | 318.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 78c | 301.56$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 296 | 58.8%174 W · 122 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 51c | 294$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 336 | 48.5%163 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 34c | 288.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 65c | 220.38$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 64c | 219.1$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 67c | 216.39$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 251 | 51.8%130 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 38c | 215.61$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…28b8backed No | 51c | 210.17$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…d9a9backed No | 79c | 199.3$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…9e66backed Yes | 19c | 194.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 14c | 193.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…a971backed Yes | 36c | 188.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 71c | 186.78$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 12c | 168.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked Yes | 16c | 145.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed No | 70c | 137.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 64c | 135.15$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 134.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1,344 | 44.3%595 W · 749 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 58c | 126.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 245 | 60.4%148 W · 97 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed Yes | 12c | 119.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 36c | 116.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 26c | 106.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 29c | 102.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 20c | 101.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691d…599fbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…1f46backed No | 74c | 96.39$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 18c | 93.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 154 | 21.4%33 W · 121 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…6423backed No | 55c | 90.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 67c | 87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…a422backed Yes | 26c | 85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…c0d2backed Yes | 18c | 81.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02e9…9a18backed Yes | 42c | 73.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 65c | 69.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 551 | 51.2%282 W · 269 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 38c | 62.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 208 | 63.9%133 W · 75 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 39c | 55.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 45c | 54.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 107 | 21.5%23 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 69c | 53.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 432 | 49.1%212 W · 220 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 77c | 52.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed Yes | 38c | 52.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…b209backed No | 71c | 50.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7caa…f4efbacked Yes | 25c | 50.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed Yes | 32c | 49.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 31c | 43.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 267 | 32.6%87 W · 180 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 77c | 43.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf57…52f2backed No | 66c | 42.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 62c | 38.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 33c | 37.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…dc4bbacked No | 56c | 35.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 51c | 34.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 197 | 69.5%137 W · 60 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked Yes | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -78%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f4…d093backed Yes | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…005cbacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…6f76backed Yes | 49c | 29.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…100abacked Yes | 34c | 29.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 70c | 28.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 60c | 26.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 80c | 24.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 77c | 23.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 69c | 23.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 53c | 22.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed No | 66c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…3f79backed No | 48c | 21.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 52c | 21.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked No | 73c | 19.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…5ac9backed No | 73c | 15.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 19?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.