Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cyprus win on 2025-09-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57a1ab5c4f8ed252fd63738d083fad54318d8d9c6b6c8ef4c293737cc9fec2dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 19c | 4,211$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 3,663$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.42 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce6…121ebacked Yes | 21c | 2,701$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 80c | 1,164$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.75 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 19c | 706.11$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.16 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 79c | 350$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Yes | 16c | 345.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 16c | 151.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 79c | 138.95$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b3…0719backed Yes | 10c | 124.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…df95backed Yes | 17c | 118.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…1c5bbacked Yes | 10c | 111.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…f949backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…413ebacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 80c | 56.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cyprus win on 2025-09-09?this page
- Will Cyprus vs. Romania end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Romania win on 2025-09-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.